HRN speed figures: These are the day's fastest horses
Notah led all performers Thursday with a 119 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Belmont at Aqueduct, in a $50,000 waiver claiming race at seven furlongs on the dirt. The 5-year-old horse by Flatter, trained by Mike Maker, led at every call and ran on to win by 1 3/4 lengths at 3-1 odds. The win was his first in three starts this year and his fourth in 21 career outings.
Cool Intentions earned a 114 HRN speed figure in winning a second-level allowance optional claimer at a mile on the Delaware Park dirt. The Jorge Delgado trainee, a 3-year-old colt by Authentic, rallied from toward the rear of the field of six to win by 1 1/2 lengths at 9-2 odds. The win was his third in 10 starts, and hiss first in seven outings this year. His dam produced Grade 3-placed sibling Telekinesis, who earned $281,000, and his dam is half to the dam of Grade 2 winners Family Tree and Liora.
Master of Arms completed the top three with a 110 HRN speed figure that he earned in winning an open $16,000 claiming race Thursday at Belmont at Aqueduct. Sent off the 2-5 favorite, the 6-year-old Mastery gelding disputed the early pace and fought on to win by half a length. It was his second win in six starts this year, and his sixth in 39 career starts. He was trained by Mike Maker going into the race but claimed out of it by trainer Linda Rice.
Thursday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | Notah | Flatter | 5H | BAQ 3 | 7f dirt |
| 114 | Cool Intentions | Authentic | 3C | DEL 8 | 1 mile dirt |
| 110 | Master of Arms | Mastery | 6G | BAQ 6 | 6f dirt |
| 110 | Final Accord | War of Will | 2F | BAQ 5 | 6f turf |
| 110 | Bits of Candy | Hit It a Bomb | 4F | IND 3 | 5 1/2f dirt |
| 110 | Magic Modie | American Freedom | 5M | WO 7 | 6 1/2f synth |
| 109 | Alpha Omega | Twirling Candy | 5G | IND 4 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 108 | Kaladin | Street Magician | 3G | DEL 7 | 1 mile turf |
| 108 | Lastchance Romance | Golden Lad | 4F | DEL 2 | 6f dirt |
| 108 | Kekoa | Reload | 3G | WO 5 | 1 3/16 turf |
Fastest maiden winners
Life of Joy posted the day's highest maiden winner figure, earning a 105 HRN speed figure in her winning debut going a mile on the dirt at Horseshoe Indiana. The 2-year-old filly by Gun Runner, trained by Brad Cox, settled toward the rear of the eight-horse field early but took command near the half mile mark and drew off to win by an easy 14 1/2 lengths as the 3-2 favorite. She is the first starter out of Jordan's Leo, a stakes-placed Malibu Moon mare who earned $137,050.
Omaha Storm earned a 104 HRN speed figure Thursday when winning a maiden special weight at 1 1/16 miles on the Aqueduct turf. The 2-year-old Omaha Beach colt, trained by Mark Hennig, tracked the early pace and moved best in the lane, winning by 1 1/2 lengths. Making his second start, he was the 7-2 third choice in the field of nine. Omaha Storm is out of the winning Tapit mare Tip at Tapit, a full sister to Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1) winner Time and Motion.
Crumlin Trouble earned a 103 HRN speed figure Thursday at Woodbine when she graduated at seventh asking in a $15,000-$14,000 maiden claimer at seven furlongs on Tapeta. Owned and trained by Alexander Patykewich, she tracked the pacesetter and then battled on late to get up in the final furlong, winning by 1 1/4 lengths at 6-1 odds. A 3-year-old daughter of World of Trouble, she is out of the placed Richter Scale mare Sh Sh Shakin'. Two of her siblings won turf sprint stakes as juveniles, Midshipman daughter Averly Jane won the Skidmore at Saratoga and the Indian Summer at Keeneland, and Giant Oak son Chattel also won the Skidmore.
Thursday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance | Winning margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | Life of Joy | Gun Runner | 2F | IND 5 | 1 mile dirt | 14 3/4 lengths |
| 104 | Omaha Storm | Omaha Beach | 2C | BAQ 2 | 1 1/16 turf | 1 1/2 lengths |
| 103 | Crumlin Trouble | World of Trouble | 3F | WO 3 | 7f synth | 1 1/4 lengths |
| 102 | Java Tales | Tale of Verve | 2F | DEL 1 | 5 1/2f dirt | 6 lengths |
| 98 | Fifi La Fume | McKinzie | 3F | BAQ 8 | 6f turf | 1 1/4 lengths |
| 91 | Meelo Time | Not This Time | 2C | IND 1 | 1 mile dirt | 2 1/4 lengths |
| 91 | The Big Ben | Jimmy Creed | 2G | DEL 4 | 5 1/2f dirt | Neck |
| 90 | Behold the King | Not This Time | 2C | BAQ 4 | 1 1/16 turf | Nose |
| 86 | Saucy Ham | Klimt | 4G | DEL 3 | 1 1/16 turf | 3/4 length |
| 78 | Oscar Bound | Lexitonian | 2F | BAQ 1 | 6f dirt | 11 lengths |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.