HRN speed figures: Daily top 10 plus fastest maiden winners

Photo: Jon Putman / Eclipse Sportswire

Rominski posted Sunday's top Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 132 at Laurel Park. The 6-year-old gelding by Great Notion won a six-furlong optional-claiming allowance at 6-5 odds, securing his 13th career victory from 27 starts.

Money Run earned a 129 HRN speed figure at Los Alamitos in a one-mile allowance optional claimer. The 5-year-old gelding by Runhappy scored at 5-1 odds in a dominant win by 3 1/2 lengths, recording his seventh career victory from 26 starts.

Hillerito completed the top three with a 122 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a six-furlong allowance optional claimer. The 5-year-old mare by Army Mule dominated as the 3-5 favorite in a commanding win by 3 1/2 lengths, earning her fifth career victory from six starts, and her third victory in a row.

Sunday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
132 Rominski Great Notion 6G LRL 6 6f dirt
129 Money Run Runhappy 5G LRC 10 1 mile dirt
122 Hillerito Army Mule 5M CD 8 6f dirt
121 Mighty Kai Twirling Candy 4G LRC 3 1 mile dirt
119 Tap the Champagne Tapit 4F LRL 3 1 1/16 turf
119 Little Teddy Frac Daddy 4F WO 6 5f turf
119 Tina Turner Grazen 3F LRC 7 5 1/2f dirt
118 Alyeska Vekoma 3F BAQ 7 7f dirt
116 And One More Time Omaha Beach 3F WO 4 1 mile turf
114 The Big Calhouna Maximus Mischief 4F BAQ 3 7f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Tap the Champagne led all maiden winners with a 119 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park. The 4-year-old filly by Tapit captured a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight at 7-2 odds in her seventh career start. She is out of Champagne Royale, a French Deputy mare who earned $63,887. Her top sibling is the Rockport Harbor son Majestic Harbor, winner of the 2014 Gold Cup at Santa Anita and earner of almost $1.3 million.

Tina Turner impressed with a 119 HRN speed figure at Los Alamitos in her debut. The 3-year-old filly by Grazen won a 5 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 5-2 odds. Her dam Sudden Sunday by Bertrando earned $199,039. Her top sibling Rose Dawson, also by Grazen, is a stakes winner and has earned $305,820 so far.

Ibrahimovic earned a 110 HRN speed figure on the Tapeta at Gulfstream Park in his fourth career start. The 3-year-old gelding by Caravaggio won a maiden claimer going a mile and 70 yards at 3-1 odds. He is the first winner from three starters out of his dam Pink Pigeon, an unraced Animal Kingdom mare.

Sunday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
119 Tap the Champagne Tapit 4F LRL 3 1 1/16 turf
119 Tina Turner Grazen 3F LRC 7 5 1/2f dirt
110 Ibrahimovic Caravaggio 3G GP 5 1 3/16 syn
105 Heartfull of Joy Heartwood 3F LRC 9 6f dirt
105 Magna Time Not This Time 3G WO 9 1 mile turf
102 Ahamo Omaha Beach 3F CD 6 6f dirt
102 Chocolatechocolate Vino Rosso 4F BAQ 1 6 1/2f dirt
100 Whopper Factor Cistron 2F LRC 1 5 1/2f dirt
  98 God Given Laoban 3C BAQ 2 1 mile dirt
  98 Big Time Boss Street Boss 2C WO 3 6f syn

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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