HRN speed figures: Daily top 10 plus fastest maiden winners

Photo: Katie Vordenberg / Eclipse Sportswire

While winning a berth in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, Haulin Ice earned the second-highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure from Saturday’s races.

The Coal Front filly got a 134 figure at Gulfstream Park for her victory in the Grade 3, $200,000 Princess Rooney Stakes at Gulfstream Park. Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. for owners C2 Racing Stable, Miller Racing, Paul Braverman and Timothy Pinch, 4-year-old Haulin Ice won the seven-furlong dirt race at 5-2 odds, recording her 10th career win from 17 starts. She defeated her competition by 4 3/4 lengths.

Cool Kiss completed the top three with a 130 figure at Woodbine in the Durham Cup (G3). The 5-year-old gelding by Kantharos scored the 1 1/16-mile synthetic race at 17-1 odds, securing his fourth career win from 23 starts.

Top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
137 Maida Improbable 3 f LRL 8 6 f dirt
134 Haulin Ice Coal Front 4 f GP 10 7 f dirt
130 Cool Kiss Kantharos 5 g WO 9 1 1/16 syn
129 J D Factor The Factor 4 g DEL 8 5 1/2 f dirt
126 Smoken Wicked Bobby’s Wicked One 3 c CD 7 7 f dirt
125 Vettriano Liam’s Map 4 c BAQ 9 7 f dirt
124 Bold Diversion Blofeld 3 g LRL 4 6 f dirt
123 R Morning Brew Curlin’s Honor 3 f GP 5 6 1/2 f dirt
123 Lord Berrier Poseidon’s Warrior 7 g GP 9 5 f syn
122 Steppe Sky Mesa 3 g GP 6 1 mi dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Piper’s Gift posted Saturday’s highest maiden winner figure with a 112 HRN speed figure at Woodbine. The 2-year-old filly by Yorkton captured a six-furlong race on synthetic at 5-2 odds in her third career start in a dominant win by eight lengths. She is out of Piper’s Legacy by Silent Name, a mare who earned $133,000, and her top sibling Pipers Reign by Yorkton has earned $53,000.

Cuando impressed with a 111 figure at Belmont at Aqueduct in a one-mile turf race. The 4-year-old gelding by Not This Time won at 8-1 odds in his 17th career start. His dam Fox Hunt by Saint Liam earned $5,000, and his top sibling Chancel by Temple City has earned $189,000.

Shout to the Lord earned a 109 at Laurel Park in her second career start. The 4-year-old filly by Curlin won a seven-furlong dirt win at 2-1 odds in a dominant win by five lengths. She is out of Intentional Cry by Street Cry, and her top sibling Telekinesis by Ghostzapper has earned $281,000 with Grade 3 placing.

Top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
112 Piper’s Gift Yorkton 2 f WO 6 6 f syn
111 Cuando Not This Time 4 g BAQ 5 1 mi turf
109 Shout to the Lord Curlin 4 f LRL 6 7 f dirt
109 Meaning Gun Runner 2 f LRC 1 6 1/2 f dirt
109 Sister Troienne Munnings 2 f CD 11 1 mi turf
107 Buds Notion Great Notion 2 g DEL 2 6 f dirt
106 Celebrity Ro Oscar Performance 4 f WO 8 1 mi turf
105 Bust Out Complexity 2 c LRC 4 6 1/2 f dirt
104 Minute by Minute Not This Time 2 f BAQ 4 6 1/2 f dirt
102 Cryptonym Hello Broadway 4 g GP 2 1 1/16 syn

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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