HRN speed figures: Daily top 10 & fastest maiden winners

Photo: Keeneland TV

Pinfire posted Wednesday’s highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 132 at Keeneland in the second race. The 5-year-old gelding by Bolt d’Oro won a seven-furlong dirt allowance at 3-5 odds. This marked his sixth career victory in his 17th start.

Sleepy earned a 114 HRN figure at Horseshoe Indianapolis in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt allowance. The 3-year-old gelding by Keen Ice captured the race at 5-2 odds in his eighth career start. This was his third career win.

Click here for Horseshoe Indianapolis entries and results.

I Got No Munny completed the top three with a 113 HRN speed figure at Keeneland in a six-furlong claiming race. The 8-year-old gelding by Munnings won at 5-1 odds to record his seventh career victory from 29 starts.

Wednesday’s top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
132 Pinfire Bolt d’Oro 5 g KEE 2 7 f dirt
114 Sleepy Keen Ice 3 g IND 6 5 1/2f dirt
113 I Got No Munny Munnings 8 g KEE 1 6 f dirt
110 Reading Time City of Light 3 f IND 5 1 mile turf
110 Miss Arlington Mark Valeski 5 m KEE 4 6 f dirt
109 Ayra Stark Cosmic Trigger 5 m KEE 6 1 1/2 turf
107 Linzer Street Sense 4 g IND 3 5 f turf
106 Essential Coffee Nyquist 2 f KEE 7 7 f dirt
103 Enticing Sunset Enticed 4 f IND 7 1 mile turf
103 Maddie Ten Mitole 4 f DEL 2 6 f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Essential Coffee posted the day’s highest figure among maiden winners with a 106 HRN speed figure at Keeneland. The 2-year-old filly by Nyquist won a seven-furlong maiden special weight at 14-1 odds in her fourth career start. She is out of Winding Way, a Grade 3 winner by Malibu Moon who earned $208,000, and her top sibling Skinner is a Grade 3 winner by Curlin who has earned $417,000.

Gucci Vision impressed with a 93 HRN speed figure in a six-furlong maiden claimer at Delaware Park. The 3-year-old colt by Violence won at 8-1 odds in his fourth career start. His dam Frippery by City Zip earned $110,000, and his top sibling Yellow Sun Dress by Karakontie has earned $87,000.

Springhawk earned a 90 HRN speed figure at Keeneland in his debut appearance in a dominantly won race by 4 3/4 lengths. The 2-year-old gelding by Spun to Run won a six-furlong maiden claimer at 7-1 odds. He is out of Double Dose, a daughter of Flatter who earned $177,000, and his top sibling Dose’s Dream by Always Dreaming has earned $78,000.

Wednesday’s top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
106 Essential Coffee Nyquist 2 f KEE 7 7 f dirt
  93 Gucci Vision Violence 3 c DEL 9 6 f dirt
  90 Springhawk Spun to Run 2 g KEE 5 6 f dirt
  78 Hotmessness Outwork 2 f DEL 1 6 f dirt
  78 Total Luna Eclipse Looking Cool 3 f IND 4 6 f dirt
  70 Seven’s Magic Street Magician 3 f DEL 4 6 f dirt
  70 Hidden Rose Connect 2 g DEL 6 1 mile dirt
  66 Grey Eclipse Calculator 2 g IND 1 5 1/2 f dirt

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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