Dubai World Cup: Can Hit Show repeat the magic?

Hit Show shocked plenty of fans and racing professionals 12 months ago when weaving his way between runners under an inspired Florent Geroux to scoop the Grade 1 Dubai World Cup, but owners Wathnan Racing were not among those to be taken by surprise.

Turning for home, the grey son of Candy Ride had only the 2023 winner Ushba Tesoro behind him. But patience paid off as Hit Show surged late to run down Mixto and a rallying Forever Young

Wathnan’s U.S. racing and bloodstock manager Case Clay recalls the thrill of that extraordinary stretch drive all too well.

“It was very exciting,” Clay said. “The remit for Wathnan Racing has been to try and win races that the emir (of Qatar) and his family would be proud of, and that was a proud night for all of us. Hopefully we can repeat it but it was a special night.”

Hit Show comes into his title defense off an excellent Grade 3 victory at Fair Grounds in New Orleans, where he broke far better than was the case at Meydan last April, before Geroux let him drift back to a spot he was comfortable in. 

He also landed the Fayette Stakes (G2) at Keeneland for the second straight year in October, the highlight of a North American campaign through which trainer Brad Cox kept him busy after his trip to Dubai. 

“After the Dubai World Cup last year we shipped him back to Kentucky thinking let’s just see how he goes,” Clay said. 

“Brad said he is really continuing to do well and as long as he is, he’ll just keep training him. 

“He’s a very good traveler, and we’ll take the same approach this year after the race. If he needs a break, he’ll get a break. 

“But he does seem to thrive on activity. He had five starts last year upon his return and now one in February.”

Geroux again is booked to take the ride on Saturday and is likely to be given a free rein aboard Hit Show, though a decent early pace would clearly be a benefit.

“He is a versatile horse and Florent knows him well, so he’ll be able to navigate depending on how the race unfolds,” Clays said. “I’d say there won’t be a lot in the way of instructions.

“Florent’s going to see how the race unfolds and the horse can get through spots, like he did in the Fayette last October (under Irad Ortiz Jr.). He loves to train, and he just continues to do very well.”

Forever Young bids to reverse the form of last year’s Dubai World Cup, and Clay and Cox also will have a close eye on the Steve Asmussen-trained Magntitude, who edged a thrilling three-way fight ahead of Hit Show and Chunk Of Gold in the Clark Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs last November.

“Forever Young at the moment is the best horse in the world,” Clay said. “He’s travelled all over the world and won the big races. And Magnitude is a bit of a freak in himself.

“But Hit Show goes in there and doesn’t have anything to fear. He was able to navigate this race last year, and he obviously likes the track. All you can ask is to be in with a chance.”

Tumbarumba provides powerful second string

Clay is also well-acquainted with Wathnan’s other Dubai World Cup runner, given that Tumbarumba ran fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile for trainer Brian Lynch before shipping to join Hamad Al Jehani in the Middle East, where he has enjoyed a fruitful campaign.

“Tumbarumba is a horse that loves a fight,” Clay said. “We brought him over for the carnival and when he goes back to America after the race, he’ll go back to Brian Lynch. 

“We were very proud of him in the Saudi Cup (G1), running third, and he ran a very good second in the Al Maktoum Challenge (G1).”

Wathnan’s retained jockey in Europe, James Doyle, will take the ride on Tumbarumba, and Clay said of the Oscar Performance gelding: “He’s a great horse to be aroun,d and speaking to Hamad, Tumbarumba seems to have taken a step forward in his recent work since returning from Saudi Arabia. 

“I think he’s worthy to be in the race, and James knows him well. I think there are a lot of very tough horses in the race, but I wouldn’t sleep on him.”