Daily figs: See how Sovereignty rates from his Jim Dandy win
Sovereignty earned a 139 Horse Racing Nation speed figure Saturday while winning the Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes at Saratoga. The 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief, who went off at 1-2, completed the 1 1/8-mile dirt contest successfully. This represented his fifth career win from eight lifetime starts.
Three-year-old gelding Broski, a son of Profitable trained by Phil D'Amato and ridden by Antonio Fresu, got a 149 HRN figure when he prevailed as the 3-5 favorite in Saturday's $80,000, one-mile turf, maiden special-weight opener. Owned by CYBT, McLean Racing Stables, Michael Nentwig, Omar Aldabbagh, Benowitz Family Trust and McLean Racing Stables, Broski broke his maiden on his ninth try.
Click here for Saratoga entries and results.
Patriot Spirit posted the third-highest figure of the day with a 133 HRN speed figure in the Reigh Count Stakes at Colonial Downs. The 4-year-old colt by Constitution finished the seven-furlong dirt contest at 4-5 odds. This was his fifth career victory in his 14th start.
Top 10 daily speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | Broski | Profitable | 3 g | DMR 1 | 8 f turf |
| 139 | Sovereignty | Into Mischief | 3 c | SAR 10 | 9 f dirt |
| 133 | Patriot Spirit | Constitution | 4 c | CNL 9 | 7 f dirt |
| 132 | Lovesick Blues | Grazen | 7 g | DMR 10 | 6 f dirt |
| 131 | Film Star | Flatter | 6 h | SAR 4 | 9 f dirt |
| 127 | Bartlett | Not This Time | 4 g | CNL 4 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 124 | Presider | Connect | 5 g | CNL 7 | 1 1/4 turf |
| 124 | Brant | Gun Runner | 2 c | DMR 4 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 124 | Nysos | Nyquist | 4 c | DMR 8 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 124 | Candy Quest | Connect | 3 f | WO 8 | 8 f turf |
Maiden winners show promising talent
Brant produced the day's highest figure among maiden winners with a 124 HRN speed figure at Del Mar. The 2-year-old colt by Gun Runner impressed in his debut, winning a 5 1/2-furlong dirt, maiden special weight as the 4-5 favorite. He is out of Tynan, a daughter of Liam's Map.
Soaring Angel earned a 120 HRN speed figure in her unveiling at Del Mar. The 2-year-old filly by Knicks Go won a one-mile turf, maiden special weight at 6-1 odds. She is out of Cuyathy by Congrats. His top offspring includes the Grade 1 winner Johannes, who has earned over $1.15 million.
Tommy Jo registered a 112 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in her first career start. The 2-year-old filly by Into Mischief captured a six-furlong dirt, maiden special weight at 5-2 odds. She is out of Mother Mother, a Grade 1-placed daughter of Pioneerof the Nile who earned $430,000 during her racing career.
Top maiden winners showcase potential
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | Brant | Gun Runner | 2 c | DMR 4 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 120 | Soaring Angel | Knicks Go | 2 f | DMR 7 | 8 f turf |
| 112 | Tommy Jo | Into Mischief | 2 f | SAR 7 | 6 f dirt |
| 111 | Contrary | Medaglia d'Oro | 3 f | ELP 5 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 103 | Soldier N Diplomat | Army Mule | 2 c | SAR 2 | 6 f dirt |
| 92 | Fond of You | Street Sense | 2 f | CNL 3 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 92 | Sweet Fusion | Connect | 2 f | WO 6 | 6 f turf |
| 91 | Nonna Lynne | Slumber | 3 f | SAR 11 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 88 | Z Z's | McKinzie | 2 f | ELP 6 | 5 1/2 f turf |
| 87 | Sassy Fox | Flameaway | 2 f | CNL 1 | 6 f dirt |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.