Breeders' Cup Turf 2020: Latest Odds & Preview
It was a good weekend for some U.S.-based Breeders' Cup Turf hopefuls as Channel Maker won his second straight Grade 1 and Gufo used his big stride to capture the Grade 1 Belmont Derby.
Despite their wins, bookmakers continue to discount the chances of U.S.-based hopefuls. Gufo and Channel Maker, the two lowest priced U.S. runners, can be had as high as 16-1.
It is no surprise that Europeans are dominating the market for the Turf, especially because this year's possible runners have world-class credentials.
Aidan O'Brien's Love is the 7/4 early favorite for the Turf. The reason she is such a heavy favorite seems twofold. First, she is immensely talented, having won all three of her Group 1 tests this year. Second, she has been confirmed for the race, while other European stars are only deemed possible.
It is not easy for a 3-year-old filly to come to America and defeat older males, but Love certainly seems up to the task after being removed from Arc consideration specifically to target this race.
Related: See the latest preview & odds for Breeders' Cup races:
Classic, Distaff, Dirt Mile, Turf, Sprint, Juvenile, FM Sprint, FM Turf
Ghaiyyath, like Love, had won three Group 1 races in a row this year before being defeated by Magical last out in the Irish Champion Stakes. Trainer Charlie Appleby is considering the Turf for this immensely talented runner.
Magical, who is best known in America for running second to Enable in the 2018 Turf, seems to be as good as ever after notching her seventh career Group 1 win. She is a lofty 10-1 because her status for this race is very uncertain. O'Brien already has Love entered and easily could decide to run Magical in the Filly and Mare Turf if she comes at all.
John Gosden's Logician will try to keep his perfect record intact when he makes his seventh career start in Friday's Cumberland Lodge Stakes. He has not faced the same company as Love, Ghaiyyath or Magical, but he has tremendous upside and has connections that enjoy running in the Breeders' Cup.
Sir Michael Stoute is another top European trainer who has enjoyed Breeders' Cup success. He could consider running the lightly raced Highest Ground in the Turf if he performs well in Saturday's Newmarket Darley.
Additional Breeders' Cup Turf updates
• Love was removed from consideration for the Arc to target the Breeders' Cup Turf, according to trainer Aidan O'Brien.
• Brad Cox confirmed to HRN on Tuesday that Arklow will run in the Breeders' Cup Turf.
• In regard to Factor This, Brad Cox told HRN that his team was "going to talk to the owners later in the week, and we’ll have an idea of what we’re going to do moving forward.” He could start in the Breeders' Cup Turf or Mile.
• Christophe Clement said that he will decide between the Breeders' Cup Turf and Hollywood Derby for Gufo
Who's already going: Love, Channel Maker, United, Zulu Alpha, Arklow, Laccario
Who could be going: Ghaiyyath, Magical, Gufo, Rockemperor, Factor This, Red King, Sadler's Joy
Upcoming preps:
Cumberland Lodge Stakes, Oct. 9 — Logician
Newmarket Darley (G3), Oct. 10 — Highest Ground
Below are the best available odds as the field for this year's Turf takes shape:
Horse | Claim to Fame | Last Race | Best Odds |
Love | 3 Group 1 wins in a row | 1st in Yorkshire Oaks | 7-4 |
Ghaiyyath | 4-time Group 1 winner | 2nd in Irish Champion Stakes | 3-1 |
Magical | 7-time Group 1 winner, 2nd in 2018 BC Turf | 1st in Irish Champion Stakes | 10-1 |
Gufo | G1 Belmont Derby winner | 1st in Belmont Derby | 16-1 |
Logician | Undefeated in 6 starts | 1st in Conditions Stakes | 16-1 |
| Channel Maker | 4-time G1 winner | 1st in Joe Hirsch Turf | 16-1 |
Highest Ground | 2nd in G2 Dante Stakes | 2nd in Dante Stakes | 20-1 |
Rockemperor | Multiple G1 placed | 5th in Joe Hirsch Turf | 20-1 |
United | 2nd in 2019 BC Turf | 1st in John Henry Turf Championship | 20-1 |
Zulu Alpha | G1 winner | 3rd in Kentucky Downs Turf Cup | 20-1 |
| Factor This | Multiple G2 winner | 1st in Dinner Party Stakes | 20-1 |
Arklow | Impressive maiden winner | 1st in Kentucky Downs Turf Cup | 25-1 |
| Laccario | Group 1 winner | 2nd in Joe Hirsch Turf | 25-1 |
| Red King | G2 winner | 1st in Del Mar Handicap | 40-1 |
| Sadler's Joy | G1 winner | 3rd in Joe Hirsch Turf | 66-1 |
Sources: Oddschecker