Breeders' Cup Mile 2020: Odds shakeup with Pinatubo retirement

Photo: Eclipse Sportswire

The Breeders' Cup lost one of its' marquee stars on Friday morning with the announcement that European sensation Pinatubo has been retired. 

It is a disappointing development that the champion and three-time Group 1 winner -- considered by many to be the best miler in the world -- will not make the trip to Keeneland for the Mile as originally planned.

Optimists out there will point out that with Pinatubo's defection, the Mile possibly just became the most wide open betting race of the two days.

Prior to his scratch, Pinatubo was listed as the 11-4 favorite for the Mile. The next shortest price was 8-1 on fellow Europeans Palace Pier and Kameko.

Sportsbooks had six different horses listed between 8-1 and 12-1 for the Mile prior to the big scratch, which tells one that this race is now up for grabs.

Related: See the odds for other Breeders' Cup races:

ClassicDistaffDirt MileTurfJuvenileF&M SprintF&M Turf

Favoritism could be decided in the QE II at Royal Ascot on Oct. 17. Top milers Palace Pier, for John Gosden, and Kameko, for Andrew Balding, are set to clash in this affair and both are considered possible for the Breeders' Cup.

Early steam has already begun to come in on Palace Pier. His odds immediately dropped to 11-2 following Pinatubo's retirement. Kameko is following close behind at 13-2 currently.

Defending champion and recent First Lady winner Uni, who is rounding back to her best form, is taking the most early money of any U.S. runner. Her odds quickly dipped to 6-1 following the news.

Mo Forza, who has been dominated his California turf foes, is listed as the 10-1 fourth-choice.

Ivar stamped himself as a Mile contender over the weekend with an upset victory over Chad Brown's Raging Bull and Without Parole in the Shadwell Mile. Ivar went from unlisted the previous week to 16-1 currently.

Additional Breeders' Cup Sprint updates

• Chad Brown stated that Newspaperofrecord could race as a 5-year-old, but the Matriarch at Del Mar, not the Breeders' Cup, would be her next target.

• Connections of three-time Group 1 Prix de la Foret winner One Master are debating between the Champions Sprint at Ascot on Oct. 17 and the Breeders' Cup Mile for their star mare. 

Brad Cox said Beau Recall is under consideration for the Breeders' Cup and would face the boys in the Mile if she went.

• Fourstardave winner Halladay was scratched from the Shadwell Mile with a hind leg infection, but trainer Todd Pletcher is hopeful he can still make the Breeders' Cup Mile.

Who's already going: Mo Forza, Safe Voyage, March to the Arch, Social Paranoia, Ivar, Uni, Raging Bull

Who could be going: Starship Jubliee, Beau Recall, One Master, Halladay, Earthlight, Circus Maximus, Without Parole, Analyze It, Bowie's Hero

Upcoming preps:

Hill Prince — Decorated Invader

Sun Chariot Stakes — Champers Elysees

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Ascot)  — Palace Pier, Kameko

Below are the best available current odds from various sportsbooks for the Breeders' Cup Mile:

Horse Claim to FameLast RaceBest  Odds 
Palace PierMultiple Group 1 winner1st Prix Jacques le Marois11-2
 Kameko 2-time Group 1 winner 1st Joel Stakes13-2
Uni  2019 BC Mile winner 1st in First Lady    6-1 
Mo Forza Del Mar Mile winner  1st in City of Hope   10-1 
 Earthlight2-time Group 1 winner 2nd in Prix de la Foret 12-1
 One Master3-time Prix de la Foret winner1st in Prix de la Foret    12-1 
Circus Maximus3-time Group 1 winner3rd in Prix Du Moulin12-1
HalladayFourstardave winner1st in Fourstardave14-1
 Analyze ItMultiple G3 winner, 3rd in 2019 BC Mile   8th in Shadwell Mile 14-1 
Raging BullG1 Shoemaker Mile winner2nd in Shadwell Mile  16-1 
Ivar G1 Shadwell Mile winner 1st in Shadwell Mile  16-1 
Beau RecallMultiple G2 winner2nd in First Lady 16-1
Champers ElyseesGroup 1 Matron Stakes winner 4th in Sun Chariot Stakes16-1
Safe VoyageMultiple Group 2 winner3rd in Prix de la Foret   18-1
Starship JublieeG1 Woodbine Mile winner1st in Woodbine Mile 20-1 
Decorated Invader2019 G1 Summer Stakes winner5th in Saratoga Derby20-1
March to the Arch 2nd in G1 Woodbine Mile 2nd in Woodbine Mile  20-1 
Without ParoleMultiple Group 1 winner3rd in Shadwell Mile25-1
Social ParanoiaMultiple G3 winner1st in Poker Stakes25-1
Bowie's Hero2019 Shadwell Mile winner7th in Shadwell Mile30-1

Sources: Bovada and Oddschecker 

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