Breeders' Cup Distaff 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?

Assuming Swiss Skydiver opts for the Breeders' Cup Distaff, the marquee event for fillies and mares will be a match race between the Preakness winner and six-time Grade 1 winner Monomoy Girl. Below we take a look at which of these two stars is faster on paper and examine how far behind the rest of the field is.

Horse	Best/Last Beyer	Best/Last Brisnet Figure	Best/Last Timeform Figure
Monomoy Girl	104/104	111/100	125/123
Swiss Skydiver	105/105	109/109	127/127
Harvest Moon	97/97	98/98	120/120
Valiance	96/96	105/103	122/122
Dunbar Road	96/92	101/95	122/114
Ollie's Candy	100/95	104/102	124/121
Point of Honor	96/96	103/97	122/115
Horologist	101/100	106/101	121/121
Ce Ce	100/91	101/95	121/120
Speech	101/88	104/96	124/114
Vexatious	105/82	109/89	125/109

Who is the fastest: Monomoy Girl has been a model of consistency throughout her career, but Swiss Skydiver's Preakness win gained a highest Beyer Speed Figure and Timeform Figure than Monomoy Girl's career best. Vexatious earned the lowest last out Beyer Speed figure for her poor effort last time, but her win in the Personal Ensign (G1) tied for the highest Beyer in the field, making her an interesting price play for the exotics on her best day.

One thing that stands out: Zenyatta Stakes (G2) winner Harvest Moon will likely be the third choice in the Distaff, but based off of speed figures, she is too slow to make any sort of dent in this race. Her career best Brisnet and Timeform ratings are the lowest in the field, and her Beyer Speed Figures are toward the back of the pack.

Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Distaff runners:

Horse	Claim to Fame	Last Race	HRN Odds
Monomoy Girl	6-time G1 winner	1st in La Troienne	7-5
Swiss Skydiver	2-time G1 winner	1st in Preakness	5-2
Harvest Moon	Undefeated on dirt	1st in Zenyatta	8-1
Valiance	Winner over track & distance	1st in Spinster	10-1
Dunbar Road	'19 Alabama (G1) winner	3rd in Beldame	15-1
Ollie's Candy	'19 Hirsch winner (G1)	2nd in Spinster	15-1
Point of Honor	'19 Black-Eyed Susan winner (G2)	2nd in Beldame	20-1
Horologist	2 highest figures in Mott barn	1st in Beldame	20-1
Ce Ce	2-time G1 winner	4th in Derby City Distaff	30-1
Speech	Ashland (G1) winner	4th in Kentucky Oaks	30-1
Vexatious	Personal Ensign (G1) winner	5th in La Troienne	30-1

Additional Breeders' Cup Distaff updates

• Brad Cox confirmed that both Shedaresthedevil and Bonny South will not challenge their star stablemate Monomoy Girl in the Distaff.

• John Sadler confirmed to HRN that Ollie's Candy is definite for the Distaff.

• Michael McCarthy told HRN that Ce Ce and Speech are pointing toward the Breeders' Cup, but he is uncertain whether one or both would run in the Filly & Mare Sprint instead of the Distaff.

• Jack Sisterson confirmed to HRN that Vexatious would run in the Distaff.

• Bill Mott's Horologist will be supplemented to the Distaff.

• Bob Baffert's Fighting Mad will skip the race, according to Brad Free of the Daily Racing Form, who reported the news on the At the Races with Steve Byk radio program.

Who's already going: Monomoy Girl, Harvest Moon, Valiance, Dunbar Road, Ollie's Candy, Point of Honor, Vexatious, Horologist

Who could be going: Swiss Skydiver, Ce Ce, Speech,

Probable Distaff field with their connections: