Breeders' Cup Classic guide: Odds, PPs, analysis
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The Grade 1, $7 million Breeders' Cup Classic is the richest race North America has to offer, and it drew a worthy field of 14 this Saturday.
City Of Troy is the 5-2 betting favorite for the 1 1/4-mile event, but considering he's never run on dirt before, this race is very much open for an upset.
Going as race 8 on the Del Mar Saturday program, post time for the Breeders' Cup Classic is 5:41 p.m. EDT. NBC will have exclusive live coverage of the event.
Check out Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page for downloadable PPs for the Breeders' Cup Classic and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.
We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Breeders' Cup Classic as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.
Best speed figures
Post | Horse | ML | Beyer | TimeformUS | HRN |
1 | Forever Young | 6-1 | 99 | 117 | 102 |
2 | Highland Falls | 20-1 | 104 | 125 | 106 |
3 | City of Troy | 5-2 |
|
|
|
4 | Mixto | 30-1 | 100 | 120 | 98 |
5 | Senor Buscador | 30-1 | 105 | 128 | 107 |
6 | Derma Sotogake | 20-1 | 105 | 127 | 105 |
7 | Ushba Tesoro | 12-1 | 102 | 124 | 103 |
8 | Pyrenees | 30-1 | 99 | 120 | 105 |
9 | Fierceness | 3-1 | 111 | 130 | 113 |
10 | Tapit Trice | 30-1 | 101 | 123 | 107 |
11 | Sierra Leone | 12-1 | 109 | 127 | 111 |
12 | Arthur's Ride | 15-1 | 111 | 130 | 110 |
13 | Newgate | 20-1 | 102 | 124 | 101 |
14 | Next | 8-1 | 109 | 127 | 113 |
15 | Rattle N Roll (ae) | 30-1 | 101 | 124 | 104 |
Looking at the pace
No pace data is available for City Of Troy, but the chart comments suggest that he'll be mixing it up early along with Derma Sotogake (blinkers on), Fierceness and Arthur's Ride in what could be a blistering Breeders' Cup Classic pace.
Forever Young and Sierra Leone are projected to be far back early, as they were when they nearly hit the wire together in the Kentucky Derby.
Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.
HRN picks
Buy the Super Screener Breeders' Cup edition now for just $57 and get horse-by-horse comments with rankings and multi-race wagering suggestions for all of Saturday's thoroughbred championship events, including the Breeders' Cup Classic.
Ed DeRosa likes Fierceness far more than City Of Troy in his Breeders' Cup Classic fair odds, but the best value bet on the board might just be Ushba Tesoro.
For free picks for the Classic and more from Brian Zipse and Matt Shifman, check out the latest edition of HorseCenter.
For a full analysis of every horse in the Classic field, read Padraic Manocchio's first-to-last rankings.
Manocchio also has five Breeders' Cup value plays for your consideration, including a 15-1 shot in the Classic.
Alex Henry sees value in Forever Young in the Classic as he looks at five Japanese runners that can win their Breeders' Cup race.
The stars are out for the latest edition of the Ron Flatter Racing Pod as D. Wayne Lukas, Brad Cox and Todd Pletcher all stop by to discuss the chances of their Breeders' Cup charges.
Here's the field for the Breeders' Cup Classic (G1):
Post |
Silks |
Horse / Sire |
Rating |
Trainer / Jockey |
Last Start / Next Start |
HRN |
1 |
|
Forever Young
Real Steel
|
7.74 |
Yoshito Yahagi
Ryusei Sakai
|
1st, 2024 Japan Dirt Classic
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
6-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Japan Dirt Classic
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
2 |
|
Highland Falls
Curlin
|
7.84 |
Brad H. Cox
Luis Saez
|
1st, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
20-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
3 |
|
City Of Troy
Justify
|
7.85 |
Aidan O'Brien
Ryan Moore
|
1st, 2024 Juddmonte International Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
5-2 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Juddmonte International Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
4 |
|
Mixto
Good Magic
|
7.47 |
Doug F. O'Neill
Kyle Frey
|
1st, 2024 Pacific Classic G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
30-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Pacific Classic G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
5 |
|
Senor Buscador
Mineshaft
|
7.51 |
Todd W. Fincher
Joel Rosario
|
5th, 2024 California Crown Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
30-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
5th, 2024 California Crown Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
6 |
|
Derma Sotogake
Mind Your Biscuits
|
7.09 |
Hidetaka Otonashi
Christophe Patrice Lemaire
|
6th, 2024 Dubai World Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
20-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
6th, 2024 Dubai World Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
7 |
|
Ushba Tesoro
Orfevre
|
7.62 |
Noboru Takagi
Yuga Kawada
|
2nd, 2024 Dubai World Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
12-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
2nd, 2024 Dubai World Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
8 |
|
Pyrenees
Into Mischief
|
7.73 |
Cherie DeVaux
Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.
|
2nd, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
30-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
2nd, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
9 |
|
Fierceness
City of Light
|
7.84 |
Todd A. Pletcher
John R. Velazquez
|
1st, 2024 Travers Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
3-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Travers Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
10 |
|
Tapit Trice
Tapit
|
7.69 |
Todd A. Pletcher
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
|
1st, 2024 Woodward G2
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
30-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Woodward G2
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
11 |
|
Sierra Leone
Gun Runner
|
7.85 |
Chad C. Brown
Flavien Prat
|
3rd, 2024 Travers Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
12-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
3rd, 2024 Travers Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
12 |
|
Arthur's Ride
Tapit
|
7.53 |
William I. Mott
Junior Alvarado
|
5th, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
15-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
5th, 2024 Jockey Club Gold Cup G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
13 |
|
Newgate
Into Mischief
|
7.07 |
Bob Baffert
Frankie Dettori
|
3rd, 2024 California Crown Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
20-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
3rd, 2024 California Crown Stakes G1
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
14 |
|
Next
Not This Time
|
7.02 |
William D Cowans
Luan Machado
|
1st, 2024 Greenwood Cup G3
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
8-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
1st, 2024 Greenwood Cup G3
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
15 AE |
|
Rattle N Roll
Connect
|
6.26 |
Kenneth G. McPeek
Jose L. Ortiz
|
3rd, 2024 Lukas Classic Stakes G2
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
30-1 |
Last Race
Next Race
|
3rd, 2024 Lukas Classic Stakes G2
2024 Breeders' Cup Classic G1
|
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