Breeders' Cup Classic 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?
The 2020 Breeders' Cup Classic features the deepest field in recent memory. Nine Grade 1 winners are set to line up, and there is very little separating the top six choices in terms of speed figures. To illustrate how competitive this race is, take a closer look at the Beyer, Brisnet and Timeform Figures for this year's Classic probables below.
Horse | Best/Last Beyer | Best/Last Brisnet Figure | Best/Last Timeform Figure |
Improbable | 108/108 | 108/108 | 127/127 |
Tiz the Law | 109/103 | 115/103 | 128/128 |
Maximum Security | 111/101 | 108/103 | 131/127 |
Authentic | 105/105 | 108/108 | 129/126 |
Tom's d'Etat | 109/102 | 112/101 | 129/124 |
Swiss Skydiver | 105/105 | 109/109 | 127/127 |
Happy Saver | 100/100 | 104/104 | 123/123 |
Global Campaign | 104/104 | 108/104 | 125/125 |
By My Standards | 103/102 | 107/99 | 125/120 |
Tacitus | 101/97 | 105/102 | 127/120 |
Midcourt | 104/101 | 106/103 | 127/125 |
Higher Power | 107/99 | 110/100 | 123/119 |
Who is the fastest: What makes this race so tough is the fact that one can make an argument that any of four horses are the fastest based on differing figures. Maximum Security has the highest career Beyer in the field, but Improbable has the highest last out number. Tiz the Law has the best Brisnet figure, but Swiss Skydiver has the highest number in her last start. Maximum Security leads the way in terms of career Timeform figures, while Tiz the Law has the highest from his last race. Authentic and Tom's d'Etat, who do not lead in any category, are consistently near the top in many speed figure categories as well.
One thing that stands out: Tiz the Law's Travers Stakes figures were massive. He received a 115 Brisnet Speed Figure, which is a full three points higher than Tom's d'Etat's best of 112. His 109 Beyer Speed Figure is tied for the second highest career number in the field, and his Timeform number is near the top. He was on quite the upward trajectory prior to his Derby defeat. Maybe he just does not like Churchill Downs?
[Related: Prospective odds and fields for all 14 Breeders' Cup races]
Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Classic runners:
Horse | Claim to Fame | Last Race | HRN Odds |
Improbable | 4-time G1 winner | 1st in Awesome Again | 7-2 |
Tiz the Law | Travers, Belmont Stakes (G1) winner | 2nd in Kentucky Derby | 4-1 |
Maximum Security | Saudi Cup, Pacific Classic (G1) winner | 2nd in Awesome Again | 9-2 |
Authentic | Haskell, Kentucky Derby (G1) winner | 2nd in Preakness | 6-1 |
Tom's d'Etat | Clark Stakes (G1) winner | 3rd in Whitney | 10-1 |
Swiss Skydiver | 2-time G1 winner | 1st in Preakness | 10-1 |
Happy Saver | Undefeated in 4 starts | 1st in Jockey Club Gold Cup | 15-1 |
Global Campaign | Highest career figure came at 1 1/4 miles | 1st in Woodward | 20-1 |
By My Standards | 4-time G2 winner | 1st in Alysheba | 20-1 |
Tacitus | 3-time G2 winner | 3rd in Jockey Club Gold Cup | 20-1 |
Midcourt | San Pasqual Stakes (G2) winner | 3rd in Awesome Again | 30-1 |
Higher Power | '19 Pacific Classic (G1) winner | 4th in Pacific Classic | 30-1 |
Additional Breeders' Cup Classic updates
• Trainer Tom Drury confirmed to HRN on Monday that Art Collector would bypass the Classic in favor of the Dirt Mile.
• Tacitus was listed by trainer Bill Mott among his six Breeders' Cup probables.
Who's already going: Improbable, Tiz the Law, Maximum Security, Authentic, Tom's d'Etat, Happy Saver, Global Campaign, By My Standards, Tacitus, Midcourt and Higher Power
Who could be going: Swiss Skydiver
2020 Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)
Rank | Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer / Jockey | Last Start | Status | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maximum Security New Year's Day | B. Baffert |
| Probable | ||||
Improbable City Zip | B. Baffert |
| Probable | ||||
Swiss Skydiver Daredevil | K. McPeek |
| Possible | ||||
Tiz the Law Constitution | B. Tagg |
| Probable | ||||
Authentic Into Mischief | B. Baffert |
| Possible | ||||
Tom's d'Etat Smart Strike | A. Stall, Jr. |
| Possible | ||||
By My Standards Goldencents | W. Calhoun |
| Probable | ||||
Tacitus Tapit | W. Mott |
| Probable | ||||
Global Campaign Curlin | S. Hough |
| Possible | ||||
Happy Saver Super Saver | T. Pletcher |
| Probable | ||||
Midcourt Midnight Lute | J. Shirreffs |
| Possible | ||||
Higher Power Medaglia d'Oro | J. Sadler |
| Probable |