Aqueduct: Flavien Prat dominates jockeys in New York
Flavien Prat has seized control of the Aqueduct jockey standings, capped by a 14-win week that included five victories on Sunday.
Through the first month of the meet, Prat has compiled 31 wins from 81 starts. His 38.3% win rate leads all riders with significant mounts, and his 46.8% HRN Impact shows he consistently outperforms the odds.
Manuel Franco holds second with 14 victories, and his -3.2% HRN Impact suggests bettors have shown confidence in his mounts. José Lezcano rounds out the top three with 12 wins and a 53.2% HRN Impact, rewarding those who back him.
Kendrick Carmouche matches Lezcano with 12 wins, and his 1.1% HRN Impact indicates he performs roughly to expectations. Ricardo Santana Jr. has tallied eight wins, but his -21.4% HRN Impact signals bettors may be overvaluing his chances.
| Jockey | Starts | Wins | Win % | HRN Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavien Prat | 81 | 31 | 38.3% | 46.8% |
| Manuel Franco | 86 | 14 | 16.3% | -3.2% |
| Jose Lezcano | 62 | 12 | 19.4% | 53.2% |
| Kendrick Carmouche | 69 | 12 | 17.4% | 1.1% |
| Ricardo Santana, Jr. | 82 | 8 | 9.8% | -21.4% |
| Javier Castellano | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | -12.8% |
| Christopher Elliott | 53 | 5 | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Jaime Rodriguez | 60 | 4 | 6.7% | -21.3% |
| Ruben Silvera | 40 | 4 | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| John Velazquez | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | -9.5% |
| Junior Alvarado | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | -34.2% |
| Joel Rosario | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | -23.2% |
Prat dominates main track
Prat's dominance carries over to the main track, where he tops the standings with 18 wins and a 40.0% win rate. His dirt performance runs 41.0% above expectations, rewarding backers who trust him on the surface.
Manuel Franco and Kendrick Carmouche share second on dirt with 10 wins apiece. Franco carries a 15.5% HRN Impact, but Carmouche edges him at 21.5%, proving more profitable for his backers.
Jose Lezcano has found success on dirt with nine wins, delivering a strong 51.8% HRN impact. Several riders with limited opportunities have posted solid results, including Omar Hernandez Moreno, who won once from nine main-track starts with a 351.8% HRN impact.
| Jockey | Dirt starts |
Dirt wins |
Win % | HRN Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavien Prat | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| Manuel Franco | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 15.5% |
| Kendrick Carmouche | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 21.5% |
| Jose Lezcano | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 51.8% |
| Christopher Elliott | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 7.6% |
| Ricardo Santana, Jr. | 50 | 3 | 6.0% | -56.9% |
| Junior Alvarado | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 50.7% |
| Joel Rosario | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | -1.0% |
| Sahin Civaci | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 46.9% |
| Ruben Silvera | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | -24.6% |
| Jaime Rodriguez | 34 | 2 | 5.9% | -42.6% |
| Luis Rivera, Jr. | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | -49.6% |
| Dylan Davis | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | -21.7% |
| Javier Castellano | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | -64.7% |
| Jorge Panaijo | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 790.6% |
| John Velazquez | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | -46.3% |
| Omar Hernandez Moreno | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 351.8% |
| Florent Geroux | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 164.3% |
| Eric Cancel | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Prat dominance continues on grass
Prat's grip extends to the turf, where he leads with 13 wins and a 36.1% win rate. His 55.6% HRN Impact on grass matches his main track profitability.
Ricardo Santana Jr. has found more success on turf than dirt with five wins and a 54.9% HRN impact. Manuel Franco has four turf wins but with a -31.2% HRN impact, suggesting his turf mounts have drew heavy bettor support.
Several jockeys have delivered strong turf value despite limited opportunities. Samuel Marin has one turf win with a 95.5% HRN impact. John Velazquez has only managed three wins on grass with a 17.2% HRN impact from 19 starts.
| Jockey | Turf Starts |
Turf Wins |
Win % | HRN Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavien Prat | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 55.6% |
| Ricardo Santana, Jr. | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 54.9% |
| Javier Castellano | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 37.8% |
| Manuel Franco | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | -31.2% |
| Jose Lezcano | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 57.4% |
| John Velazquez | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| Kendrick Carmouche | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | -45.1% |
| Ruben Silvera | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 51.4% |
| Jaime Rodriguez | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 25.1% |
| Luis Rivera, Jr. | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | -24.6% |
| Christopher Elliott | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Marin | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 95.5% |
| Axel Concepcion | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 512.1% |
| Dylan Davis | 17 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Junior Alvarado | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Jose Antonio Gomez | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Lane Luzzi | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Eric Cancel | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Trevor Simpson | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |