McLean: Game Winner guides my Kentucky Derby 2019 rankings

Photo: Eclipse Sportswire

We are at that time of year when things should begin to clear up along this long and tumultuous 2019 Kentucky Derby trail We are at the stage in the path when the forks in the road simply turn into curves. We are at the point when the potholes should begin to be filled. We are at the point where the questions turn into answers.

It must be a late spring.

So much for answers, right? Each week, it seems, we take another detour, side road, and U-turn as we speed toward the first Saturday in May.

And, each week, it seems, we are driving faster and faster down a one-lane highway at midnight — with the lights off.

Several weeks ago, on Feb. 2, the 29-1 longshot Harvey Wallbanger upset the bandwagons along with the apple cart in winning the Holy Bull Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream Park. Things have only gotten crazier since then.

A month later on March 2, Code of Honor — who had made more news by the races that he had missed more than the races that he had made — got a perfect trip to win the Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream Park at odds of nearly 10-1.

A week later, on March 9, Tacitus — who had only broken his maiden, and hadn't raced yet at age 3 — won the Tampa Bay Derby (G1) at odds of nearly 9-1.

The very same day, Haikal — a minor stakes winner — upset the highly-acclaimed Instagrand in the Withers Stakes at odds of nearly 5-1.

A week later, on March 16, Long Range Toddy upset the previously unbeaten Improbable in the first division of the Rebel Stakes (G2) at Oaklawn Park. He was sent off at nearly 9-1 odds.

Later the same day, in the second division of the Rebel, champion Game Winner — a perfect 4-for-4 — lost to the front-running, free-wheeling Omaha Beach. He was nearly 5-1 at post time..

Throw in the mix that Santa Anita canceled the San Felipe Stakes altogether, sending Derby prospects scattering all over the country in search of a prep race and reeling for the lack of a venue to practice.

And…

Now, this past weekend what do we see?

We see the most consistent horse of 2019, War of Will, do his best imitation of the “Twist and Shout” leaving the starting gate in the Louisiana Derby (G2), and watch him stumble to ninth in the 11-horse field. At the end of the race, a 22-1 shot, By My Standards, had captured the major prep. And, at the end, the biggest question was not whether War of Will would be a main contender for this year’s Kentucky Derby. It was whether he would be a contender at all. Only time and healing hands will give us that answer.

Then on Sunday, Mucho Gusto — another major contender from the barn of Team Baffert and the odds-on favorite to capture the Sunland Derby — raced like a horse ready to sprint rather than one prepping for a 1 1/4-mile distance. After setting the early fractions, jockey Joe Talamo was left with a wilting violet in the stretch of the 1 1/8-mile event. Along came Cutting Humor and Anothertwistafate to overtake the lead nearing the wire. Going into the Stakes, Cutting Humor had won a total of one race, and had finished a dismal seventhth in the Southwest Stakes. Anothertwistafate’s resume going in? His only previous run over dirt had resulted in a ninth-place finish.

In other words?

This has been a winter and spring of discontent along the trail.

So, what do we do?

I go down this dark path with the only flashlight that I know.

That is Game Winner.

Just Game Winner.

Despite missing some training time and having to ship, unexpectedly, to Arkansas for the Rebel Stakes, the talented son of Candy Ride missed winning the Rebel Stakes by a whisker and a prayer. A stride past the wire, he was in front. He was just that close to being 5-for-5 and still unbeaten.

He is my flashlight.

He is my roadmap, or, in this day and time, my Google Map.

He is my hope. Still.

Until this week, when we get to watch the Florida Derby (G1). Until, this week, when we hope that logic may prevail. Until this week, when we hope that the lights will get turned back on.

 Horse Trainer Last Time Thoughts
1. Game WinnerBob Baffert2nd in the G2 Rebel Stakes – 1ALooking Better Every Day
2. RoadsterBob Baffert1st in SA AllowanceCan He Take Big Step Forward in Next Out?
3. Bourbon WarMark Hennig2nd in G2 Fountain of YouthI got him at 28-1 in the Future Wager
4. Code of HonorShug McGaughey1st in G2 Fountain of YouthBig Race This Week / Can He Duplicate Big Run?
5. Hidden ScrollBill Mott4th in G2 Fountain of YouthNew Rider Must Harness Speed
6. ImprobableBob Baffert2nd in G2 Rebel Stakes 1Was 2nd in Rebel Better Than Looked?
7. Omaha BeachRichard Mandella1st in G2 Rebel Stakes – 1AGame on Front End in Rebel, But Plenty of Speed
8. HaikalKiaran McLaughlin1st in G3 Gotham StakesGotham Set Up Perfectly / Needs a Hot Pace
9. GalileanJerry Hollendorfer3rd in G2 Rebel Stakes – 1Wasn’t A Bad Effort Facing Open Company / Next?
10. War of WillMark Casse9th in G2 LA DerbyLost Footing Leaving Gate / Injured in LA Derby
11. Long Range ToddySteve Asmussen1st in G2 Rebel Stakes — 1ACame Running Late / Nice Effort / 
12. Sparky VilleJeff Bonde1st in G2 San Vicente StakesWhat’s Next For This One? It’s Race Time.
13. InstagrandJerry Hollendorfer3rd in G3 Gotham StakesCould Improve Off Last Out / Then What?
14. TacitusBill Mott1st in G2 Tampa Bay DerbyHuge Move, but Expertly Ridden
15. Harvey WallbangerKen McPeek1st in G2 Holy Bull StakesTraining Very Well / Can Duplicate?
16. AnothertwistafateBlaine D. Wright2nd in the Sunland DerbyRan Well / Closed Strong / Better Than Advertised
17. VekomaGeorge Weaver3rd in G2 Fountain of YouthWill Need to Pop a Big One in Lexington
18. By My StandardsW. Bret Calhoun1st in G2 LA DerbyCame With a Run / Improving at Right Time
19. Cutting HumorTodd Pletcher1st in the Sunland DerbyDon’t Know What He Beat, But Impressive in Sunland
20. Standard DeviationChad Brown2nd in GP AllowanceBeen Working Steadily in South Florida / Ready?
Others to Consider
SignalmanKen McPeek7th in G2 Fountain of YouthStablemate Looks Better Right Now
SpinoffTodd Pletcher2nd in LA DerbyMade Lead Late, But Couldn’t Hold / Could Improve
SuenoJ. Keith Desormeaux3rd in the LA DerbyPushed Pace & Held Strong / Next? Need to See More
SomelikeithotbrownMike Maker1st in G3 Jeff Ruby SteaksTurf to Poly — Check / Can He Convert to Dirt?
TaxDanny Gargan1st in G3 Withers StakesGuts Will Be Tested in Next Out
DessmanBob Baffert2nd in Oaklawn Park AllowancePart of Baffert Deep Bench / Capable of More
RoilandTom Amoss6th in LA DerbyStill Slow to Start / Picked Up Pieces / Next?
AquadiniDallas Stewart2nd in FG AllowanceWell Bred / Developing Late / Enough Time?
Country HouseBill Mott4th in LA DerbyWide Trip, But No Threat in LA Derby / Disappointing?
Mucho GustoBob Baffert3rd in Sunland DerbySet Fractions, But Faded Severely in Stretch…Worries

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