California Chrome or Shared Belief?

Photo: Jon Durr / Eclipse Sportswire

Chromies, we have a problem.

Even after California Chrome’s Triple Crown bid came up short last month, the general consensus was that he had his division’s Eclipse Award locked up. No 3-year-old had done nearly as much as the Cal-bred That Could, and even with the son of Lucky Pulpit getting a well-deserved rest through the summer, California Chrome appeared able to rest atop his lofty pedestal.

In just one minute and 47 seconds, Shared Belief shattered that illusion.

Last year’s champion 2-year-old male ran his record to 5-for-5 Saturday with his victory in the Los Alamitos Derby. Candy Boy, a talented 3-year-old in his own right, challenged him going around the far turn, but once Mike Smith shook the reins at the top of Los Alamitos’s long stretch, Shared Belief was gone.

Suddenly, California Chrome’s stranglehold on the 3-year-old male Eclipse Award got just a bit looser. It’s just one Grade 2 win, but now, one can envision a scenario where, for the first time since 1972, a winner of both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes will not capture the Eclipse Award.

Shared Belief’s range of options is very wide. If trainer Jerry Hollendorfer desires to send his star gelding east, he could potentially run in either the Haskell Invitational or Jim Dandy, followed by an attempt at the Travers Stakes. If Shared Belief stays in California, he could potentially lock up with older horses in Del Mar’s Pacific Classic, followed by another showdown with that group in Santa Anita’s Awesome Again.

Meanwhile, California Chrome’s options may be limited by his current rest at Harris Farms. Trainer Art Sherman has said he expects his star back at Los Alamitos in mid-August, meaning a run in the Pacific Classic may be out of the question. That leaves the Awesome Again, or, as Sherman indicated earlier this week, possibly a prep race at his home track prior to the Breeders’ Cup.

Shared Belief has many more ways to bolster his resume than California Chrome does. There’s quite a gap to make up, but it’s far from insurmountable. What happens if Shared Belief wins a few Grade 1 races between now and a showdown with California Chrome in the Breeders’ Cup Classic? Wouldn’t that race then serve as the deciding factor in the race for the Eclipse Award? 
 
How much of a departure is this from the racing world’s line of thinking after the Preakness Stakes? At that point, we thought California Chrome was a superhorse, the horse destined to break one of the longest droughts in all of sports. Less than two months later, he may not even be the best 3-year-old horse in training.  
 
It’s a fascinating conundrum, one that may sort itself out on the track later this season. With any luck, this is a brewing rivalry, one racing fans will be able to enjoy not just this year, but next year as well.

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