Kentucky Derby 2018 Scouting Report: Eastern Division IV

As the 2018 Kentucky Derby heads into its final few weeks, the delineation between the categories here is becoming clear. Currently, six horses from the Eastern Division have likely earned enough points (using 30 as a benchmark) to secure a spot in the starting gate.

With his victory in the Rebel stakes, Magnum Moon was the most recent contender to make the list of qualifiers. This son of Malibu Moon is trainer Todd Pletcher’s first horse to earn enough points this year.

"We were confident that he was training very well, coming into it in great shape and just hoping he could handle the continued rise in class," Pletcher said after the Rebel. "There's nothing like seeing it actually happen. You can always prepare for it and hope for it and all that. It's still up to the horse to go there out and prove it."

It is now make it or break it time for the horses in the First Tier that still need to accumulate points in their final start to make it to the Run for the Roses.

RELATED: Also check out our West Coast report!

Probable Derby Starter

Enticed (63)

Promises Fulfilled (52)

Magnum Moon (50)

Quip (50)

Good Magic (34)

Flameaway (30)

First Tier

Firenze Fire (29)

Free Drop Billy (24)

Old Time Revival (20)

Strike Power (20)

Catholic Boy (14)

Audible (10)

Second Tier

Noble Indy

Sporting Chance

One to Watch

Impact Player

Dropping Down

Vino Rosso

Tiz Mischief

Marconi

Mississippi

Navistar

Gleason

Seven Trumpets

On the Shelf

Avery Island

Copper Bullet

As usual, the below list of contenders is in order of Derby qualifying points followed by money earned. You can also find the Kentucky Derby qualifying points earned, odds from the Future Wager Pools, Beyer Speed Figures for all races, and their next likely start.

Enticed (Medaglia d’Oro) KY

5: 3-0-1 $410,680

Owner: Godolphin Racing LLC

Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin

Jockey: J. Alvarado

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

1^st Gotham – BSF 95

4^th Holy Bull – BSF 76

1^st Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 81

3^rd Champagne (G1) – BSF 84

1^st MSW Saratoga - BSF 67

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 29-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 62-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

63 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#2)

Promises Fulfilled (Shackleford) KY

KEESEP16 $37,000

4: 3-0-1 $327,280

Owner: Robert J. Baron

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Irad Ortiz

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

1^st Fountain of Youth – BSF 96

3^rd Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 76

1^st Allowance Keeneland – BSF 75

1^st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 73

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 24-1

52 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#4)

Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) KY

KEESEP16 $380,000

3: 3-0-0 $577,800

Owner: Robert and Lawanna Low

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Luis Saez

NEXT: (Arkansas Derby)

1^st Rebel (G2) – BSF 97

1^st Allowance Tampa Bay – BSF 87

1^st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 94

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 25-1

50 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#5)

Quip (Distorted Humor) KY

4: 3-0-0 $272,800

Owner: WinStar, China Horse Club, SF Racing

Trainer: Rudolphe Brisset

Jockey: Florent Geroux

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

1^st Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 94

7^th Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 68

1^st Allowance Keeneland – BSF 77

1^st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 74

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 65-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

50 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#6)

Good Magic (Curlin) KY

KEESEP16 $1,000,000

4: 1-2-1 $1,255,000

Owner: e Five Thoroughbreds and Stone Farm

Trainer: Chad Brown

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

3^rd Fountain of Youth – BSF 89

1^st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 100

2^nd Champagne (G1) – BSF 89

1^st MSW Saratoga – BSF 82

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 11-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 8-1*

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 11-1

34 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#8)

Flameaway (Scat Daddy) ONT-C

FTSAUG $400,000

8: 5-1-0 $504,834

Owner: John Oxley

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

2^nd Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 92

1^st Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 92

1^st Kitten’s Joy (TURF) – BSF 84

8^th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – BSF 80

1^st Bourbon (G3) – BSF 71

6^th Iroquois (G3) – BSF 57

1^st Skidmore – BSF 65

1^st MSW -Woodbine – BSF 66

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 31-1

30 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#10)

NOT TRIPLE CROWN NOMINATED

Firenze Fire (Poseidon’s Warrior) FLA

8: 4-1-0 $604,100

Owner: Mr. Amore Stable

Trainer: Jason Servis

Jockey: Irad Ortiz

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

4^th Gotham – BSF 79

2^nd Withers – BSF 83

1^st Jerome – BSF 85

7^th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 67

1^st Champagne (G1) – BSF 90

4^th Hopeful (G1) – BSF 77

1^st Sanford (G3) – BSF 79

1^st MSW Saratoga – BSF 69

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 49-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 63-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

29 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#11)

Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) KY

7: 2-3-1 $525,220

Owner: Albaugh Family Stable

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robby Albarado

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

3^rd Gotham – BSF 83

2^nd Holy Bull – BSF 90

9^th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – BSF 53

1^st Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 79

2^nd Hopeful (G1) – BSF 85

2^nd Sanford (G3) – BSF 76

1^st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 64

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 33-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 36-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 44-1

24 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#12)

Strike Power (Speightstown) KY

3: 2-1-0 $224,760

Owner: Courtlandt Farm

Trainer: Mark Hennig

Jockey: Luis Saez

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

2^nd Fountain of Youth – BSF 92

1^st Swale – BSF 87

1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 102 (by 8 lengths)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 40-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 56-1

20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#15)

Old Time Revival (Brethren) FL

6: 2-1-1 $108,400

Owner: Fred J. Brei

Trainer: Ken Decker

Jockey: J. Rose

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

2^nd Gotham – BSF 90

2^nd Miracle Wood Holy – BSF 87

7^th Frank Whiteley – BSF 66

1^st MSW Laurel - BSF 77

5^th MSW Laurel – BSF 37

3^rd MSW Laurel – BSF 51

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#16)

Catholic Boy (More Than Ready) KY

4: 3-0-0 $314,000

Owner: Robert La Penta

Trainer: Jonathan Thomas

Jockey: Manny Franco

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

2^nd Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 91

1^st Remsen (G2) – BSF 91

4^th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TURF – BSF 83

1^st With Anticipation (G3) TURF – BSF 76

1^st MSW Gulfstream TURF – BSF 63

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 16-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 21-1

14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#18)

Audible (Into Mischief) NY

FTFMAR2017 $500,000

4: 3-0-1 $287,720

Owner: WinStar, China Horse Club

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Javier Castellano

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

1^st Holy Bull (G2) – BSF 99

1^st Allowance AQU – BSF 84

1^st MSW NY AQU – BSF 82

3^rd MSW NY AQU – BSF 70

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 9-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 13-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#22)

World of Trouble (Kantharos) FL

4: 2-1-1 $189,400

Owner: Michael Dubb

Trainer: Jason Servis

Jockey: Antonio Gallardo

NEXT: (undecided)

3^rd Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 92

1^st Pasco Stakes – BSF 97

2^nd Affirmed Stakes – BSF 88

1^st Maiden Claiming ($25,000) - Gulfstream Park - BSF 77

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#24)

Noble Indy (Take Charge Indy) KY

3: 2-0-1 $91,600

Owner: WinStar Farms LLC and Repole Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

NEXT: (Louisiana Derby)

3^rd Risen Star (G2) – BSF 91

1^st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF 88

1^st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 77 (by 8 ¾ lengths)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 60-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#28)

Vino Rosso (Curlin) KY

KEESEP16 $410,000

4: 2-0-1 $85,500

Owner: Repole and St. Elias Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

4^th Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 85

3^rd Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 89

1^st Allowance Tampa Bay Downs – BSF 69

1^st MSW Aqueduct - BSF 80

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 39-1

7 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#28)

Tiz Mischief (Into Mischief) KY

KEESEP16 $55,000

6: 1-2-1 $131,600

Owner: Frank Jones Jr.

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robby Albarado

NEXT: (undecided)

5^th Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 75

3^rd Holy Bull – BSF 78

2^nd Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) – BSF 81

1^st Keeneland – BSF 78

2^nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 82

4^th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 55

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 40-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 71-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

6 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#29)

Seven Trumpets (Morning Line) KY

KEESEP16 $45,000 OBSAPR17 $205,000

5: 2-1-0 $106,400

Owner: West Point Thoroughbreds

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robbie Albarado

NEXT: (Sunland Derby)

7^th Southwest (G2) – BSF 62

2^nd Jerome – BSF 84

1^st Allowance Churchill Downs – BSF 79

1^st MSW Churchill Downs - BSF 76

5^th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 19

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#36)

Sporting Chance (Tiznow) KY

KEESEP15 $275,000

KEESEP16 $575,000

5: 2-1-1 $346,140

Owner: Robert Baker and William Mack

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (Arkansas Derby)

5^th Rebel (G2) – BSF 89

3^rd Southwest (G3) – BSF 82

1^st Hopeful - Saratoga (G1) – BSF 86

1^st MSW Saratoga - BSF 84

2^nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 67

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 56-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 33-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 39-1

2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#38)

Marconi (Tapit) KY

KEESEP16 $2,000,000

4: 1-1-1 $84,520

Owner: Tabor, Magnier, Smith, and Bridlewood Farm

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (undecided)

5^th Fountain of Youth – BSF 83

3^rd Withers – BSF 83

1^st MSW Aqueduct (B on) – BSF 74

2^nd MSW Aqueduct (1 1/8 mi) – BSF 70

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#41)

Impact Player (City Zip) KY

OBSAPR17 $350,000

5: 2-1-0 $74,200

Owner: NK Racing

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Jon Velazquez

NEXT: (undecided)

1^st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF 85

1^st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 91

5^th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 70

4^th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 53

2^nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 79

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1