Kentucky Derby 2018 Scouting Report: Eastern Division IV

Photo: Robert Mauhar/NYRA

As the 2018 Kentucky Derby heads into its final few weeks, the delineation between the categories here is becoming clear. Currently, six horses from the Eastern Division have likely earned enough points (using 30 as a benchmark) to secure a spot in the starting gate.

With his victory in the Rebel stakes, Magnum Moon was the most recent contender to make the list of qualifiers. This son of Malibu Moon is trainer Todd Pletcher’s first horse to earn enough points this year.

"We were confident that he was training very well, coming into it in great shape and just hoping he could handle the continued rise in class," Pletcher said after the Rebel. "There's nothing like seeing it actually happen. You can always prepare for it and hope for it and all that. It's still up to the horse to go there out and prove it."

It is now make it or break it time for the horses in the First Tier that still need to accumulate points in their final start to make it to the Run for the Roses.

RELATED: Also check out our West Coast report!

Probable Derby Starter

Enticed (63)

Promises Fulfilled (52)

Magnum Moon (50)

Quip (50)

Good Magic (34)

Flameaway (30)

First Tier

Firenze Fire (29)

Free Drop Billy (24)

Old Time Revival (20)

Strike Power (20)

Catholic Boy (14)

Audible (10)

Second Tier

Noble Indy

Sporting Chance

One to Watch

Impact Player

Dropping Down

Vino Rosso

Tiz Mischief

Marconi

Mississippi

Navistar

Gleason

Seven Trumpets

On the Shelf

Avery Island

Copper Bullet

As usual, the below list of contenders is in order of Derby qualifying points followed by money earned. You can also find the Kentucky Derby qualifying points earned, odds from the Future Wager Pools, Beyer Speed Figures for all races, and their next likely start.

Enticed (Medaglia d’Oro) KY

5: 3-0-1 $410,680

Owner: Godolphin Racing LLC

Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin

Jockey: J. Alvarado

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

1st Gotham – BSF 95

4th Holy Bull – BSF 76

1st Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 81

3rd Champagne (G1) – BSF 84

1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 67

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 29-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 62-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

63 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#2)

Promises Fulfilled (Shackleford) KY

KEESEP16 $37,000

4: 3-0-1 $327,280

Owner: Robert J. Baron

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Irad Ortiz

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

1st Fountain of Youth – BSF 96

3rd Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 76

1st Allowance Keeneland – BSF 75

1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 73

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 24-1

52 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#4)

 

Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) KY

KEESEP16 $380,000

3: 3-0-0 $577,800

Owner: Robert and Lawanna Low

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Luis Saez

NEXT: (Arkansas Derby)

1st Rebel (G2) – BSF 97

1st Allowance Tampa Bay – BSF 87

1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 94

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 25-1

50 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#5)

 

Quip (Distorted Humor) KY

4: 3-0-0 $272,800

Owner: WinStar, China Horse Club, SF Racing

Trainer: Rudolphe Brisset

Jockey: Florent Geroux

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

1st Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 94

7th Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 68

1st Allowance Keeneland – BSF 77

1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 74

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 65-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

50 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#6)

Good Magic (Curlin) KY

KEESEP16 $1,000,000

4: 1-2-1 $1,255,000

Owner: e Five Thoroughbreds and Stone Farm

Trainer: Chad Brown

Jockey: Jose Ortiz

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

3rd Fountain of Youth – BSF 89

1st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 100

2nd Champagne (G1) – BSF 89

1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 82

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 11-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 8-1*

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 11-1

34 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#8)

 

Flameaway (Scat Daddy) ONT-C

FTSAUG $400,000

8: 5-1-0 $504,834

Owner: John Oxley

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

2nd Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 92

1st Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 92

1st Kitten’s Joy (TURF) – BSF 84

8th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf – BSF 80

1st Bourbon (G3) – BSF 71

6th Iroquois (G3) – BSF 57

1st Skidmore – BSF 65

1st MSW -Woodbine – BSF 66

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 31-1

30 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#10)

NOT TRIPLE CROWN NOMINATED

 

Firenze Fire (Poseidon’s Warrior) FLA

8: 4-1-0 $604,100

Owner: Mr. Amore Stable

Trainer: Jason Servis

Jockey: Irad Ortiz

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

4th Gotham – BSF 79

2nd Withers – BSF 83

1st Jerome – BSF 85

7th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 67

1st Champagne (G1) – BSF 90

4th Hopeful (G1) – BSF 77

1st Sanford (G3) – BSF 79

1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 69

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 49-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 63-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

29 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#11)

 

Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) KY

7: 2-3-1 $525,220

Owner: Albaugh Family Stable

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robby Albarado

NEXT: (Blue Grass)

3rd Gotham – BSF 83

2nd Holy Bull – BSF 90

9th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – BSF 53

1st Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 79

2nd Hopeful (G1) – BSF 85

2nd Sanford (G3) – BSF 76

1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 64

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 33-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 36-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 44-1

24 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#12)

 

Strike Power (Speightstown) KY

3: 2-1-0 $224,760

Owner: Courtlandt Farm

Trainer: Mark Hennig

Jockey: Luis Saez

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

2nd Fountain of Youth – BSF 92

1st Swale – BSF 87

1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 102 (by 8 lengths)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 40-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 56-1

20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#15)

 

Old Time Revival (Brethren) FL

6: 2-1-1 $108,400

Owner: Fred J. Brei

Trainer: Ken Decker

Jockey: J. Rose

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

2nd Gotham – BSF 90

2nd Miracle Wood Holy – BSF 87

7th Frank Whiteley – BSF 66

1st MSW Laurel - BSF 77

5th MSW Laurel – BSF 37

3rd MSW Laurel – BSF 51

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#16)

 

Catholic Boy (More Than Ready) KY

4: 3-0-0 $314,000

Owner: Robert La Penta

Trainer: Jonathan Thomas

Jockey: Manny Franco

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

2nd Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 91

1st Remsen (G2) – BSF 91

4th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TURF – BSF 83

1st With Anticipation (G3) TURF – BSF 76

1st MSW Gulfstream TURF – BSF 63

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 16-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 21-1

14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#18)

 

Audible (Into Mischief) NY

FTFMAR2017 $500,000

4: 3-0-1 $287,720

Owner: WinStar, China Horse Club

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Javier Castellano

NEXT: (Florida Derby)

1st Holy Bull (G2) – BSF 99

1st Allowance AQU – BSF 84

1st MSW NY AQU – BSF 82

3rd MSW NY AQU – BSF 70

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 9-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 13-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#22)

 

World of Trouble (Kantharos) FL

4: 2-1-1 $189,400

Owner: Michael Dubb

Trainer: Jason Servis

Jockey: Antonio Gallardo

NEXT: (undecided)

3rd Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 92

1st Pasco Stakes – BSF 97

2nd Affirmed Stakes – BSF 88

1st Maiden Claiming ($25,000) - Gulfstream Park - BSF 77

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#24)

 

Noble Indy (Take Charge Indy) KY

3: 2-0-1 $91,600

Owner: WinStar Farms LLC and Repole Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

NEXT: (Louisiana Derby)

3rd Risen Star (G2) – BSF 91

1st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF 88

1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 77 (by 8 ¾ lengths)

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 60-1

10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#28)

 

Vino Rosso (Curlin) KY

KEESEP16 $410,000

4: 2-0-1 $85,500

Owner: Repole and St. Elias Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (Wood Memorial)

4th Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 85

3rd Sam F. Davis (G3) – BSF 89

1st Allowance Tampa Bay Downs – BSF 69

1st MSW Aqueduct - BSF 80

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 39-1

7 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#28)

 

Tiz Mischief (Into Mischief) KY

KEESEP16 $55,000

6: 1-2-1 $131,600

Owner: Frank Jones Jr.

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robby Albarado

NEXT: (undecided)

5th Tampa Bay Derby – BSF 75

3rd Holy Bull – BSF 78

2nd Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) – BSF 81

1st Keeneland – BSF 78

2nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 82

4th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 55

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 40-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 71-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

6 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#29)

 

Seven Trumpets (Morning Line) KY

KEESEP16 $45,000 OBSAPR17 $205,000

5: 2-1-0 $106,400

Owner: West Point Thoroughbreds

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Robbie Albarado

NEXT: (Sunland Derby)

7th Southwest (G2) – BSF 62

2nd Jerome – BSF 84

1st Allowance Churchill Downs – BSF 79

1st MSW Churchill Downs - BSF 76

5th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 19

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#36)

 

Sporting Chance (Tiznow) KY

KEESEP15 $275,000

KEESEP16 $575,000

5: 2-1-1 $346,140

Owner: Robert Baker and William Mack

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (Arkansas Derby)

5th Rebel (G2) – BSF 89

3rd Southwest (G3) – BSF 82

1st Hopeful - Saratoga (G1) – BSF 86

1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 84

2nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 67

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 56-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – 33-1

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – 39-1

2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#38)

 

Marconi (Tapit) KY

KEESEP16 $2,000,000

4: 1-1-1 $84,520

Owner: Tabor, Magnier, Smith, and Bridlewood Farm

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

NEXT: (undecided)

5th Fountain of Youth – BSF 83

3rd Withers – BSF 83

1st MSW Aqueduct (B on) – BSF 74

2nd MSW Aqueduct (1 1/8 mi) – BSF 70

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#41)

Impact Player (City Zip) KY

OBSAPR17 $350,000

5: 2-1-0 $74,200

Owner: NK Racing

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Jon Velazquez

NEXT: (undecided)

1st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF 85

1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 91

5th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 70

4th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 53

2nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 79

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 – mutuel field 5-2

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 – mutuel field 3-1

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