Kentucky Derby 2018 Scouting Report: Eastern Division II
There has been much written about the final time and fractions of the Jerome Stakes and the subsequent speed figures assigned to the winner, Firenze Fire, and close runner-up, Seven Trumpets. When I walked on the track after the race, the surface was wet, very thick and deep. It was the consistency of freshly mixed concrete; thick, dense, and heavy. Thus, it came as no surprise that the top two were tired nearing the end of the nine furlongs and that the time was slow.
I am not going to toss either of those Jerome runners out of consideration as the road to Kentucky Derby 2018 continues. Right now, Firenze Fire has 20 points and does not need many more to lock up a spot in the gate on the first Saturday in May.
• RELATED: Check out our Midwest and West Coast reports!
Below you will see that in the place of an Eastern Division Top 10 that the contenders are divided into categories based on their current position on the Derby trail. Please note that three of the most talented contenders from the Eastern Division in Good Magic, Engage and Montauk have not yet returned to the work tab. They appear in two of the categories.
The Leader
Good Magic**
First Tier (prep winners)
Firenze Fire
Enticed
Free Drop Billy
Catholic Boy
Second Tier (look like future prep winners)
Avery Island
Sporting Chance
Seven Trumpets
Copper Bullet
Mask
Engage
Tiz Mischief
Dak Attack
Ones to Watch (noteworthy maiden/allowance horses)
Noble Indy
Mississippi
Vino Rosso
Vouch
Marconi
Montauk
Navistar
Magnum Moon
Strike Power
Impact Player
On the Shelf (worth mentioning, but not working)
Montauk
Engage
Alkhaatam
Super Sermon
**Good Magic
As usual, the full list of contenders is in order of Derby qualifying points followed by money earned.
KEESEP16 $1,000,000
3: 1-2-0 $1,216,600
Owner: e Five Thoroughbreds and Stonestreet Farm
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
NEXT: (Fountain of Youth)
1st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 100
2nd Champagne (G1) – BSF 89
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 82
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 11-1
24 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#1)
6: 4-0-0 $539,100
Owner: Mr. Amore Stable
Trainer: Jason Servis
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
NEXT: (Gotham)
1st Jerome – BSF 85
7th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 67
1st Champagne (G1) – BSF 90
4th Hopeful (G1) – BSF 77
1st Sanford (G3) – BSF 79
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 69
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 49-1
20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#2)
3: 2-0-1 $213,880
Owner: Godolphin Racing LLC
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Junior Alvarado
NEXT: (Holy Bull)
1st Kentucky Jockey Club – BSF 81
3rd Champagne (G1) – BSF 84
1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 67
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 29-1
12 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#7)
5: 2-2-0 $428,020
Owner: Albaugh Family Stable
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robby Albarado
9th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – BSF 53
1st Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 79
2nd Hopeful (G1) – BSF 85
2nd Sanford (G3) – BSF 76
1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 64
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 33-1
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#8)
4: 3-0-0 $314,000
Owner: Robert La Penta
Trainer: Jonathan Thomas
Jockey: Manny Franco
NEXT: (Sam F. Davis)
1st Remsen (G2) – BSF 91
4th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TURF – BSF 83
1st With Anticipation (G3) TURF – BSF 76
1st MSW Gulfstream TURF – BSF 63
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#10)
4: 2-1-0 $215,332
Owner: Godolphin Racing LLC
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Joe Bravo
NEXT: (Withers)
2nd Remsen (G2) – BSF 84
1st Nashua (G2) – BSF 80
1st MSW Belmont Park - BSF 79
7th MSW Saratoga – BSF 51
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 29-1
4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#14)
KEESEP16 $45,000 OBSAPR17 $205,000
4: 2-1-0 $104,400
Owner: West Point Thoroughbreds
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robbie Albarado
2nd Jerome – BSF 84
1st Allowance Churchill Downs – BSF 79
1st MSW Churchill Downs - BSF 76
5th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 19
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#19)
KEESEP16 $55,000
4: 1-2-0 $88,000
Owner: Frank Jones Jr.
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robby Albarado
NEXT: (Holy Bull)
2nd Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) – BSF 81
1st Keeneland – BSF 78
2nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 82
4th MSW Ellis Park – BSF 55
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 40-1
4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#18)
KEENOV15 $400,000
5: 2-0-1 $90,637
Owner: Teresa Viola Racing Stable and St. Elias
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
3rd Jerome – BSF 81
5th Smooth Air Gulfstream – BSF 65
1st Allowance Gulfstream Park West – BSF 73
10th Sapling Monmouth Park – BSF 40
1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 60
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#28)
KEENOV15 $230,000
2: 1-0-1 $47,800
Owner: Lael Stables and Three Chimneys farm
Trainer: Arnaud Delacour
Jockey: Joel Rosario
3rd Remsen (G2) – BSF 81
1st MSW Laurel Park - BSF 72
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#27)
6: 2-2-0 $114,400
Owner: Larry and Cindy Jones
Trainer: Larry Jones
Jockey: A. Cintron
5th Lecomte (G3) – BSF 79
2nd James F. Lewis – BSF 77
4th Champagne (G1) – BSF 84
2nd Sapling – BSF 71
1st Strike Your Colors – BSF 74
1st MSW Delaware Park - BSF 84
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
1 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#31)
KEESEP15 $275,000
KEESEP16 $575,000
3: 2-1-0 $269,140
Owner: Robert Baker and William Mack
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Luis Saez
NEXT: (Southwest)
1st Hopeful - Saratoga (G1) – BSF 86
1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 84
2nd MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 67
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 56-1
4: 2-2-0 $177,800
Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds and Willis Horton Racing
Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
NEXT: (Rebel)
1st Saratoga Special (G2) – BSF 77
2nd Bashford Manor (G3) – BSF 78
1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 75
2nd MSW Keeneland - BSF
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 45-1
OBSMAR17 $550,000
3: 2-1-0 $156,400
Owner: Woodford Racing
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
1st Futurity - Belmont Park (G3) – BSF 84
1st MSW Saratoga - BSF 81
2nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 78
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 56-1
7: 3-2-0 $145,675
Owner: Red Oak Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
2nd Mucho Macho Man – BSF 81
1st Smooth Air – BSF 81
1st Sapling – BSF 73
4th Saratoga Special (G2) – BSF 64
5th Sanford (G3) – BSF 62
1st MSW Gulfstream Park - BSF NA
2nd MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF NA
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
KEESEP16 $685,000
2: 2-0-0 $105,760
Owner: Lanes End Racing
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Javier Castellano
NEXT: (Risen Star)
1st Mucho Macho Man – BSF 91
1st MSW Belmont Park – BSF 88
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 47-1
3: 1-1-1 $93,300
Owner: WinStar Farm LLC
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
2nd Nashua (G2) – BSF 72
1st MSW Belmont Park - BSF 73
3rd MSW Saratoga – BSF 30
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
KEESEP16 $625,000
2: 2-0-1 $81,530
Owner: Albaugh Family Stable
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robby Albarado
3rd Mucho Macho Man – BSF 76
1st Ellis Park Juvenile – BSF 77
1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 70
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 37-1
OBSAPR17 $350,000
5: 2-1-0 $74,200
Owner: NK Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Jon Velazquez
1st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 91
5th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 70
4th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 53
2nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 79
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
2: 2-0-0 $51,600
Owner: WinStar Farms LLC and Repole Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
1st Allowance Gulfstream Park – BSF 88
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 77 (by 8 ¾ lengths)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
FTFMAR17 $700,000
3: 1-1-0 $48,490
Owner: Magnier, Tabor, and Smith and Oxley
Trainer: Mark Casse
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
2nd Allowance Gulfstream – BSF 87
1st MSW Churchill – BSF 76
4th MSW Keeneland - BSF 66
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
KEESEP16 $410,000
2: 2-0-0 $48,000
Owner: Repole and St. Elias Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st Allowance Tampa Bay Downs – BSF 69
1st MSW Aqueduct - BSF 80
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
KEESEP16 $2,000,000
2: 1-1-0 $48,000
Owner: Tabor, Magnier, Smith, and Bridlewood Farm
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st MSW Aqueduct (B on) – BSF 74
2nd MSW Aqueduct (1 1/8 mi) – BSF 70
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
(1/2 Mucho Macho Man)
OBSAPR17 $850,000
1: 1-0-0 $45,000
Owner: LaPenta, Eclipse Thoroughbreds, Twin Creeks Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st MSW Belmont Park - BSF 87 (11 ¼ lengths)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – 17-1
OBSMAR17 $900,000
2: 1-1-0 $40,200
Owner: Robert LaPenta
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 79
2nd MSW Belmont Park (2nd to Mask) – BSF 81
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
KEESEP16 $380,000
1: 1-0-0 $25,800
Owner: Robert and Lawanna Low
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Luis Saez
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 94
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5
1: 1-0-0 $25,200
Owner: Courtlandt Farm
Trainer: Mark Hennig
Jockey: Luis Saez
NEXT: (Swale)
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 102 (by 8 lengths)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1 – mutuel field 6-5