A closer look at Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2
With 87 days until Kentucky Derby 2018, the 24 betting interests in Future Wager Pool 2 were released by Churchill Downs.
Below you will find the 23 individual horses listed with odds from Pool 1, their three most-recent Beyer Speed Figures, the results from their last race, and their current HRN ranking. Unless you assemble the Beyers yourself, this is the only place where you can find this information because of the ongoing disagreement between Churchill and the Daily Racing Form. DRF will not being issuing past performances for the Future Wager Pools as it has previous years.
Catholic Boy, the likely favorite in Grade 3 Sam F. Davis, is the only horse from the list running this weekend.
1) Audible (12-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 99, 84, 82 – last race: 1st Holy Bull (G2) – HRN rank: 10]
2) Avery Island (20-1) [Pool 1: 29-1 – last 3 BSFs: 87, 84, 80 – last race: 1st Withers (G3) - HRN rank: 5]
3) Bolt d’Oro (10-1) [Pool 1: 7-1* – last 3 BSFs: 91, 103, 85 – last race: 3rd Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) - HRN rank: 3]
4) Catholic Boy (20-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 91, 83, 76 – last race: 1st Jerome (G2) - HRN rank: 4]
5) Combatant (50-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 94, 84, 77 – last race: 2nd Smarty Jones (LS) – HRN rank: 17]
6) Copper Bullet (50-1) [Pool 1: 45-1 – last 3 BSFs: 77, 78, 75 – last race: 1st Saratoga Special (G2) - HRN rank: 53]
7) Enticed (30-1) [Pool 1: 29-1 – last 3 BSFs: 76, 81, 84 – last race: 4th Holy Bull (G2) – HRN rank: 18]
8) Firenze Fire (30-1) [Pool 1: – 49-1 – last 3 BSFs: 83, 85, 67 – last race: 2nd Withers (G3) - HRN rank: 9]
9) Free Drop Billy (20-1) [Pool 1: 33-1 – last 3 BSFs: 87, 84, 80 – last race: 2nd Holy Bull (G2) - HRN rank: 12]
10) Good Magic (10-1) [Pool 1: 11-1 – last 3 BSFs: 100, 89, 82 – last race: 1st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) HRN rank: 1]
11) Instilled Regard (30-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 92, 92, 74 – last race: 1st Lecomte (G3) - HRN rank: 8]
12) Mask (12-1) [Pool 1: 47-1 – last 3 BSFs: 91, 88, XX – last race: 1st Mucho Macho Man (LS) - HRN rank: 21]
13) McKinzie (8-1) [Pool 1: 12-1 – last 3 BSFs: 98, 92, 99 – last race: 1st Sham (G3) - HRN rank: 7]
14) Mendelssohn (30-1) [Pool 1: 31-1 – last 3 BSFs: 86, NA, NA – last race: 1st Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) - HRN rank: 28]
15) Montauk SCRATCH [Pool 1: 17-1 – last 3 BSFs: 87, XX, XX – last race: 1st MSW Belmont Park – HRN rank: 35]
16) Mourinho (12-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 99, 90, 70 – last race: 1st Smarty Jones (LS) - HRN rank: 15]
17) Principe Guilherme (30-1) [Pool 1: 27-1 – last 3 BSFs: 86, 91, 88 – last race: 2nd Holy Bull (G2) - HRN rank: 23]
18) Retirement Fund (30-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 80, 81, XX – last race: 1st Allowance Fair Grounds – HRN rank: 27]
19) Solomini (20-1) [Pool 1: 22-1 – last 3 BSFs: 93, 93, 90 – last race: 3rd (DQ) Los Alamitos Futurity (G1) - HRN rank: 2]
20) Sporting Chance (50-1) [Pool 1: 56-1 – last 3 BSFs: 86, 84, 67 – last race: 1st Hopeful (G1) - HRN rank: 19]
21) Strike Power (20-1) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field) – last 3 BSFs: 87, 102, XX – last race: 1st Swale (G3) - HRN rank: 34]
22) Tiz Mischief (30-1) [Pool 1: 40-1 – last 3 BSFs: 78, 81, 78 – last race: 3rd Holy Bull (G2) – HRN rank: 16]
23) Untamed Domain (30-1) [Pool 1: 29-1 – last 3 BSFs: 83, 85, 81 – last race: 3rd Dania Beach (G3) – HRN rank: 37]
24) All Others (7-2) [Pool 1: 6-5 (field)]
In summary...Here is a list of horses in which I am interested:
Catholic Boy – If he runs a big race this weekend, I will wait and see what his odds are on Sunday. If he is close to 20-1, I will bet him.
Copper Bullet – He is going to offer big odds in this pool. He showed a lot of talent last year and his most recent workout was fast for an Asmussen horse indicating he is ready to roll.
Instilled Regard – His win in the Lecomte was one of the best performances on the Derby Trail this year, so odds of 30-1 would be a huge overlay.
Mendelssohn – I still believe that the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner will take to the dirt, and you will get hefty odds in this pool.
Principe Guilherme – This horse is talented as he showed in the Lecomte. He will probably get overlooked in here.
Sporting Chance – I’ll take 50-1 on the chance that D. Wayne Lukas can work some magic with the winner of the Hopeful.
Please keep in mind that betting on Pool 2 opens at noon ET Friday and closes at 6 p.m. ET Sunday.