Kentucky Derby 2017: New York’s Contenders III (The Withers)
With his victory in the Withers, El Areeb stamped himself as a legitimate 2017 Kentucky Derby Contender. In each of his four consecutive wins, the Cathal Lynch trainee has gotten better. His last three stakes triumphs have had BSFs in the 90s. The son of Exchange Rate has not shown any stamina issues going a distance of ground. His early starts were from the front end, but his two Derby Trail victories have come from a stalking position where he has shown the ability to relax behind the early pace and then release an impressive turn of foot. This gray three-year-old can run well on wet and dry tracks and with six career starts has more experience than many other Derby contenders.
In the post-race interview with Lynch he was leaning towards skipping the Gotham to make the Wood Memorial on April 9 his final prep race for the Run for the Roses.
The New York Top 10
1) El Areeb
2) Classic Empire
3) Gunnevera
4) Practical Joke
5) Mo Town
6) Battalion Runner
7) No Dozing
8) Good Samaritan
9) Tapwrit
10) Faja, Action Everyday, Malagacy
A Look at the Pletcher Barn
Just before the Withers was run on Saturday, a friend in the Todd Pletcher barn said that they expect to have their usual two to four horses in this year’s Kentucky Derby field. Thus, it is a good time to take at look at the long list of Pletcher Derby contenders. Several of them have only one or two starts under their belts and will have to prove themselves quickly in the Derby qualifying races with some running away from the friendly confines of Gulfstream Park. The Pletcher training style, which tends to promote speed, is very well suited to early success at Gulfstream.
•Bonus Points has five Kentucky Derby points from finishes in the Jerome and the Withers.
•Syndergaard just left the farm to return to serious training after a workout at Stonestreet Farm and that means he is on a very tight schedule to add to his four points.
•Win With Pride has two Derby points after two fourth place finishes. He has been breezing on a weekly basis at Belmont Park.
•Sonic Mule has seven career starts and most recently ran third in the Swale at Gulfstream. This one is probably more of a sprinter.
•Theory has been training regularly at Pletcher’s Florida base at Palm Beach Downs for his 2017 debut. Showed talent last year, but disappointed in the BC Juvenile.
•Fact Finding heads into the Sam F. Davis with a perfect record with three wins at three different tracks. Seeking his first Derby points in a pretty tough field.
•Battalion Runner has two very impressive victories at Gulfstream both of which earned BSFs in the 90s. He will need to gather points in his next start or two.
•Always Dreaming returned to break his maiden by 11 lengths at Tampa Bay Downs while going two turns.
•Action Everyday has won both career starts this year at Tampa including an allowance race going two turns.
•Tapwrit is a regally bred (Tapit-Appealing Zophie) $1,200,000 purchase and a stakes winner as a juvenile. He has been training steadily at Palm Beach Downs. Faces a challenge and his stablemate in the Sam F. Davis at Tampa on Saturday.
•Malagacy broke his maiden at Gulfstream last month by 15 lengths earning at BSF of 89.
•Faja broke his maiden going a mile at Gulfstream. That win was impressive enough to get him listed in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 where closed at odds of 56-1 (16th choice).
•Third Day just recently won a restricted stakes at Gulfstream going a mile while earning a BSF of 88. His only other race was his maiden victory at Monmouth Park.
Current Contenders List
The Contenders list below is divided into three groups. The first has horses arranged in order based on the total Derby qualifying points earned and all of the Derby point winners are included. The second group is stakes winners that have no Derby points and the final section lists horses with at least one victory, but non-stakes winners.
Derby Point Winners
KEESEP15 $475,000
6: 4-0-1 $1,520,220
Owner: John Oxley
Trainer: Mark Casse
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
3rd Holy Bull (G2) – BSF 83
1st Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – BSF 102
1st Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 88
DNF Hopeful (G1) - DNF
1st Bashford Manor (G3) – BSF 87
1st MSW Churchill Downs – BSF 55
32 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#1)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 6-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 5-1
NEXT: Fountain of Youth (G2) - March 4
OBSAPR16 $340,000
6: 4-1-0 $334,200
Owner: M G M Stables
Trainer: Cathal Lynch
Jockey: Trevor McCarthy
1st Withers (G3) – BSF 92
1st Jerome (G3) – BSF 91
1st JF Lewis – BSF 94
1st MSW – Laurel – BSF 82
2nd MSW – Laurel – BSF 49
4th MSW – Parx – BSF 43
20 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#2)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 32-1
NEXT: Wood Memorial (G2) - April 8
KEESEP15 $16,000
7: 3-2-0 $839,600
Owner: Peacock Racing Stables
Trainer: Antonio Sano
Jockey: Javier Castellano
2nd Holy Bull (G2) – BSF 91
1st Delta Jackpot (G3) – BSF 87
5th Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 76
1st Saratoga Special (G2) – BSF 84
1st MSW Gulfstream – BSF 56
4th Birdonthewire – BSF 59
2nd MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 65
14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#4)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 22-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 24-1
KEESEP15 $240,000
4: 3-1-0 $739,800
Owner: Klaravich Stables and William Lawrence
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Joel Rosario
3rd Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 90
1st Champagne (G1) – BSF 88
1st Hopeful (G1) – BSF 85
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 83
14 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#5)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 26-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 20-1
KEESEP15 $200,000
3: 2-1-0 $243,600
Owner: Team D and Magnier, Tabor, Smith
Trainer: Anthony Dutrow
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st Remsen (G2) – BSF 86
1st MSW Belmont Park - BSF 84
2nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 76
10 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#10)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 12-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 15-1
NEXT: Gotham (G3) – March 4, 2017
KEENOV14 $170,000
4: 1-1-1 $102,800
Owner: Calumet Farm
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
2nd Withers (G3) – BSF 85
3rd Jerome (G3) – BSF 72
1st MSW Aqueduct – BSF 70
5th MSW Aqueduct – BSF 61
6 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#16)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
4: 2-1-0 $129,340
Owner: Lael Stables
Trainer: Arnaud Delacour
Jockey: Daniel Centeno
2nd Remsen (G2) – BSF 82
4th Breeders’ Futurity (G1) – BSF 81
1st AlwOC50 Laurel – BSF 69
1st MSW Delaware Park – BSF 72
5 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#17)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 40-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 38-1
NEXT: Sam F. Davis (G3) – Feb. 11
EASOCT15 $35,000
7: 1-2-2 $129,150
Owner: Three Diamonds
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Manny Franco
4th Withers (G3) – BSF 80
2nd Jerome (G3) – BSF 73
2nd Maryland Juvenile Futurity (MD) – BSF 71
3rd Awad Belmont – BSF 62
1st MSW Belmont – BSF 73
4th MSW Saratoga TURF – BSF 58
5 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#18)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
OBSAPR16 $450,000
4: 2-1-0 $323,800
Owner: Eric Fein and others
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
5th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – BSF 81
2nd Champagne (G1) – BSF 88
1st Funny Cide (NY) – BSF 90
1st MSW (NY) Saratoga – BSF 86
4 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#22)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 43-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
KEESEP15 $485,000
4: 1-1-1 $119,600
Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robby Albarado
3rd Withers (G3) – BSF 84
4th Delta Jackpot (G3) – BSF 70
1st MSW – Keeneland – BSF 75
2nd MSW – Churchill Downs – BSF 61
3 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#26)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
OBSAPR16 $300,000
4: 2-0-1 $222,560
Owner: Klaravich Stables and William H. Lawrence
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
1st Swale (G2) – BSF 94
13th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TURF – BSF 74
3rd Champagne (G1) – BSF 78
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 88
2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
NOT ON DERBY TRAIL
3: 1-0-1 $76,500
Owner: Shadwell Stable
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
7th Jerome (G3) – BSF 29
3rd Remsen (G2) – BSF 77
1st MSW Aqueduct – BSF 92
2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#30)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 37-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
KEESEP15 $450,000
4: 1-0-1 $60,000
Owner: Repole and St. Elias
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Irad Ortiz
4th Jerome (G3) – BSF 70
4th Remsen (G2) – BSF 77
1st MSW Parx – BSF 61
3rd MSW Belmont – BSF 54
2 Road to Kentucky Derby Points (#31)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
Stakes Winners with No Derby Points
3: 2-0-1 $230,616
Owner: WinStar, SF Bloodstock, and China Horse Club
Trainer: Bill Mott
Jockey: Joel Rosario
3rd Breeders’ Cup Juvenile TURF – BSF 91
1st Summer Stakes (G2) TURF – BSF 94
1st MSW Saratoga TURF – BSF 79
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
KEESEP15 $175,000
7: 4-1-2 $186,455
Owner: Calumet Farm
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
3rd Swale (G2) – BSF 86
1st Mucho Macho Man, Gulfstream – BSF 83
1st Buffalo Man, Gulfstream – BSF 75
1st Allowance, GPW – BSF 70
2nd Armed Forces (TURF) – BSF 62
3rd Sapling, Monmouth Park – BSF 62
3rd Saratoga Special – BSF 45
1st MSW, MTH – BSF 73
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 80-1
KEESEP15 $120,000
OBSAPR16 $335,000
3: 2-0-0 $170,145
Owner: WinStar and China Horse Club
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
10th Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – BSF 69
1st Futurity (G3) – BSF 85
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 85
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
4: 1-0-0 $129,900
Owner: Godolphin
Trainer: Tom Albertrani
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
DNF Mucho Macho Man Gulfstream – BSF 0
1st Nashua (G2) – BSF 83
4th MSW Belmont Park – BSF 67
4th MSW Saratoga – BSF 62
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 80-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
KEESEP15 $100,000
3: 3-0-0 $132,570
Owner: Tabor, Magnier, Smith, Stonestreet
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st Smooth Air Gulfstream – BSF 80
1st Allowance N2L Keeneland – BSF 76
1st MSW Saratoga – BSF 75
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: 74-1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 39-1
NEXT: Sam F. Davis (G3) – Feb. 11
FTSAUG15 $1,200,000
3: 2-0-0 $63,902
Owner: Bridlewood, Eclipse Thoroughbreds, Robert LaPenta
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Eddie Castro
1st Pulpit Gulfstream Park – BSF 80
1st MSW Gulfstream Park West – BSF 70
10th MSW Saratoga – BSF 36
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
NEXT: Sam F. Davis (G3) – Feb. 11
KEESEP15 $150,000
OBSMAR16 $575,000
2: 2-0-0 $62,850
Owner: Spendthrift, Town and Country
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st Just One More – 1 mile - Gulfstream – BSF 88
1st MSW Monmouth Park – BSF 71
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
Non-Stakes Winners
KEESEP15 $700,000
3: 2-1-0 $60,600
Owner: St. Elias Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st Allowance Gulfstream – BSF 91
1st MSW Gulfstream Park – BSF 96
2nd MSW Belmont Park – BSF 76
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 22-1
KEESEP15 $350,000
3: 1-1-1 $35,900
Owner: St. Elias Stable, Viola Racing, MeB Racing
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
1st MSW Tampa Bay (1 mi. 40) by 11 lengths – BSF 85
2nd MSW Saratoga – BSF 88
3rd MSW Belmont Park – BSF 59
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
EASMAY16 $400,000
2: 2-0-0 $23,400
Owner: St. Elias Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Jesus Castanon
1st Allowance – Tampa Bay (1 mile 40) – BSF 82
1st MSW Tampa Bay (7F) – BSF 82
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
KEENOV14 $45,000
OBSAUG15 $130,000
EASMay16 $190,000
1: 1-0-0 $22,800
Owner: Sumaya US Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st MSW Gulfstream (by 15 lengths) – BSF 89
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mutuel Field 5-2
1: 1-0-0 $21,600
Owner: Harrell Ventures LLC
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Javier Castellano
1st MSW Gulfstream (1 mile) – BSF 80
0 Road to Kentucky Derby Points
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1: Mutuel Field 6/5
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: 56-1