HRN Division Rankings: Rushing Fall deserves respect

With few meaningful Breeders' Cup preps contested over the weekend, there's little change to be had in the Division Rakings. But one winner in particular should be noted.

Rushing Fall moved into the Top 10 for female turf runners off her victory in Keeneland's Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1) after what was her fourth start of 2018. The feeling here is she could very well give her older counterparts all they could handle, but her connections have stated she will not go on to the Breeders’ Cup.

One can’t help but think the campaign fell slightly short of expectations given she won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf a year ago.

Next week we will delve into various Breeders' Cup races and their Eclipse Award implications, including Accelerate's Horse of the Year candidacy should he win the Classic. It's a forgone conclusion he'll be top older male, while Justify has the 3-year-old Eclipse locked up. But could the former steal the bigger award from the latter?

Given all that, here is an updated look at HRN's Division Rankings: 

Older Dirt Males

1.  Accelerate – I can’t envision a scenario now where he doesn’t end up with the Eclipse. He should go postward as a strong favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Classic over a distance he loves.

2.  Mind Your Biscuits – Passed his latest route test with flying colors, as he easily won the Lukas Classic (G3) over the Churchill Downs strip. Next up will likely be the Breeders’ Cup Classic, though the Sprint and Dirt Mile are also under consideration.

3.  Diversify – Never had a chance in the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) with the fast early fractions he set. Will skip the Breeders' Cup.

4.  Catalina Cruiser – He's unbeaten and has the makings of a superstar. Will likely be the favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile in his next start. 

5.  Yoshida – Didn’t beat much in the Grade 1 Woodward, but he did look good switching to dirt. In a division that lacks depth, he moves into the Top 5. An intriguing long shot in the Classic.

Next 5: West Coast, Thunder Snow, City of Light, Pavel, Gunnevera.

Older Dirt Females

1.  Abel Tasman – Experienced an elevated temperature in her last start, an abysmal off-the-board effort in the Zenyatta Stakes (G1) at Santa Anita. She will still run in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff and, contrary to many pundits' beliefs, is the horse to beat.

2.  Elate – Will miss the Breeders’ Cup due to injury. Future is undecided.

3.  Unique Bella – Although retired, she still has a shot at Eclipse votes should Abel Tasman falter in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff.

4.  Wow Cat – The Chilean star was no match for the Top 2 in the Personal Ensign (G1) but came back to win the Beldame (G1) in convincing fashion. She should account for herself very well in Louisville.

5.  Blue Prize – This Argentinian mare has really put together a nice season winning her last three starts. The Spinster (G1) marked her breakthrough moment. She should also be taken seriously in the Distaff.

Next 5: Salty, Martini Glass, La Force, Champagne Problems, Fault.

3-Year-Old-Males

1.  Justify – Now retired, he will win the Eclipse as the top 3-year-old male, but the Horse of the Year is by no means a lock with Accelerate on a tear right now. 

2.  Catholic Boy – It takes a very special horse to win Grade 1 races on the turf and dirt. The Breeders’ Cup Classic is now the next major target, and he is training up to the race.

3.  McKinzie – Six months since his last start, this guy showed no rust as he dispatched the best of what is left of a very questionable class of 3-year-olds in the Pennsylvania Derby (G1). The Breeders' Cup Classic is likely for his next start.

4.  Audible – Back on the work tab, he will point to the Pegasus World Cup in January, with a possible prep beforehand. The feeling here is that he is the best in this class who is not yet retired.

5.  Axelrod – This guy has matured into one of top horses in his class. He ran a strong second in the Pennsylvania Derby, 7 1/2 lengths clear of the rest of the field. Will be considered for the Breeders’ Cup Classic for his next start, with the Clark Handicap (G1) as another option.

Next 5: Mendelssohn, Bravazo, Hofburg, Vino Rosso, Firenze Fire.  

3-Year-Old-Females

1.  Monomoy Girl – She lost nothing in defeat as she was disqualified to second in the Cotillion (G1). Will win the Eclipse regardless of what takes place the remainder of the season. The Breeders’ Cup Distaff is next.

2.  Midnight Bisou – She has been ranked second here most of the season for a reason. She is the second-best 3-year-old filly in training. She proved her worth with a gutsy run in the Cotillion finishing second, but elevated to first via the DQ of Monomoy Girl. The Breeders’ Cup Distaff is next for her, too.

3.  Dream Tree - She was an impressive Prioress (G2) winner off a long layoff, and will target the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint.

4.  Wonder Gadot – Finished 10 1/2 lengths behind the Top 2 in the Cotillion, but was best of the rest. A very nice filly, but a cut below the top ones. Still possible for the Breeders’ Cup Distaff.

5.  Eskimo Kisses – Never factored against older in the Spinster. She likely prefers a longer distance.

Next 5: Red Ruby, Talk Veuve to Me, Chocolate Martini, My Miss Lilly, Seperationofpowers.

Turf Males

1.  Robert Bruce – Ran well in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1) but couldn’t catch the front-running Channel Maker. Retains the top spot in what continues to be a wide-open division. One of several could who could be ranked here.

2.  Glorious Empire – At age 7, this guy is in the best form of his career. The Sword Dancer (G1) marked his second straight graded stakes score, and his first Grade 1. He defeated Channel Maker in his last start, and that one came back to win the Joe Hirsch.

3.  Channel Maker – The latest to join the growing list of turf horses who have won a Grade 1 race this year. His last three starts have been solid.

4.  Oscar Performance – And just like that, with a Woodbine Mile (G1) score this guy is back in the thick of things in this wide-open division. A Breeders’ Cup Mile victory could win him the Eclipse.

5.  Arklow  – Someone has to be ranked fifth, so why not Arklow? One of the few in this division who has won two races in a row. Will run Thursday in Keeneland's Sycamore Stakes (G3) as a Breeders' Cup prep.

Next 5:  Divisidero, Hi Happy, Almanaar, Heart to Heart, Spring Quality.

Turf Females

1.  Sistercharlie – Cemented her hold on this spot with a determined Beverly D. (G1) win and has since trained up to the Breeders’ Cup.

2.  Fourstar Crook – Finally won her first Grade 1 race in the Flower Bowl. Will give the top one all she can handle in the Breeders’ Cup.

3.  A Raving Beauty– Won the First Lady (G1) on the lead. Don’t overlook her in the Breeders’ Cup coming from off the pace.

4.  Ultra Brat – Her last two starts have been solid. She was a hard-luck Diana (G1) loser when Sistercharlie changed leads late and surged at the wire.

5.  Daddys Lil Darling – Consistent filly is always there at the finish.

Next 5: Rushing Fall, Californiagoldrush, Uni, Vasilika, Dona Bruja.

 
Male Sprinters

1.  Imperial Hint – Cemented his position in this spot with his Vosburgh (G1) score. Will face a tough field in the Breeders’’ Cup Sprint over a track he has run over twice, both off the board finishes.

2.  Roy H – The Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1) showed that this guy is not done yet. Could repeat in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint.

3. Promises Fulfilled – This 3-year-old has matured into a serious sprinter. He tackled some tough older horses in his latest win and came away a winner, his third straight victory. Will be interesting to see how he handles speeders such as X Y Jet who also want the early lead.

4.  X Y Jet – Has only run once since Dubai, as he easily took care of business in the Smile Sprint. Trainer Jorge Navarro has confirmed that the Breeders’ Cup Sprint is next if training goes well.

5.  Mind Your Biscuits – With his latest win over a route of ground, he likely won't be sprinting again anytime soon.

Next 5: City of Light, Whitmore, Limousine Liberal, Ransom the Moon, CZ Rocket.

Female Sprinters

1.  Selcourt – Was flattered with Marley’s Freedom's win in the Ballerina (G1). She handed Marley’s Freedom her last loss back in March, but will need to be at her best in their next meeting.

2.  Marley’s Freedom – Dominant win in the Ballerina in her first cross-country trip as she handled the best sprinters in the East. She's been on fire since transferred to Bob Baffert. She will train up to the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint.

3.  Finley'sluckycharm – Did not run well on a sensible lead in the Ballerina. Her last two starts at seven furlongs resulted in off-the-board finishes.

4.  Union Strike – Her win in the Gallant Bloom (G2) also flattered Marley’s Freedom, who beat her by five in her last start, the Ballerina.

5.  Skye Diamonds – Fourth in last year’s Filly & Mare Sprint, she won for the first time this year in the LA Woman (G3) at Santa Anita.

Next 5: Lewis Bay, Ivy Bell, Golden Mischief, Separationofpowers, Hotshot Anna.

2-Year-Old Males

1.  Game Winner – Has a hold on the top spot after an impressive American Pharoah Stakes (G1) win. This guy will only get better the longer he goes. He's the horse to beat in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.

2.  Instagrand – So far has looked like a monster, winning his two starts by a combined 20 1/4 lengths. He will now sit until 2019 to point for his 3-year-old campaign. 

3.  Complexity  – Not sure how far he can run, but right now it doesn’t matter. Impressive win in the Champagne (G1).

4.  Code of Honor – Was second after an early stumble in the Champagne, and I get the feeling he will be much better around two turns.

5.  Gunmetal Gray – Disappointed some in the American Pharoah. 

Next 5: Rowayton, Call Paul, Knicks Go, Ahead of Plan, Tale of the Union.

2-Year-Old Females

1.  Bellafina – Dominated the Chandelier (G1) in her first start around two turns. Clear leader in the division for now.

2.  Sippican Harbor – The Spinaway (G1) winner should get better as she goes longer.

3.  Restless Rider – Impressive win in the Alcibiades (G1), making her one of the few to already claim two stakes wins.

4.  Serengeti Empress – It is not often you see any horse win a Grade 2 event by over 19 lengths. She's on to the Breeders' Cup after her Pocahontas Stakes (G2) romp.

5.  Jaywalk – Looked very good in the Frizette (G1) in a wire-to-wire win.

Next 7: Mother Mother, Feedback, Chasing Yesterday, Vibrance, Del Mar May, Brill, Newspaperofrecord.