Monday's Best Bet: Tightly Twisted finishes with a flourish
Monday’s 5th race from Presque Isle Downs is the $75,000 H. B. P. A. Stakes for fillies and mares traveling a mile and seventy yards on the all-weather surface (Post Time 6:25 p.m. EDT).
No. 1 TIGHTLY TWISTED (4-1) battled on the pace and ended up a close 3rd in this event at 22-1 odds last year. She won a pair of turf routes earlier this year including a stalk and pounce stakes victory at Pimlico July 24. The versatile mare should save all the ground from the inside post.
No. 3 Alnaseem (7-2) won an all-weather route in Great Britain last year. She went all the way in a turf route at Churchill Downs May 30, and followed that up with a place finish in a turf stakes route at Indiana Grand. She was in too deep in the Dance Smartly (G2) last time, and this is a better spot.
No. 5 Advocating (9-2) is a lightly raced, versatile filly with three wins from five starts. Look for her to move forward in her second start after a short layoff.
No. 2 Fate Factor (10-1) had her nine-race trifecta streak snapped when setting the pace and weakening to last place in the Belle Mahone Stakes at Woodbine Sept. 12. She won back-to-back races before that and reconnects with her winning pilot Jareth Loveberry.
No. 8 Amniarix (8-1) handled all-weather ground in Great Britain on multiple occasions. She exits an encouraging show finish in an extended sprint on turf at Woodbine, and Graham Motion’s filly will probably be heard from late.
No. 10 No Mo Lady (8-1) is a reliable trifecta player for Michael Trombetta. She exits a solid show finish in an all-weather stakes route at Woodbine.
Wagers:
No. 1 to Win
Exacta 1/3-5
Exacta 3-5/1
Trifecta 1-3/1-2-3-5-8-10/8-10
Recent Best Bet Winners
Oct. 2 - Going To Vegas/Luck/Dogtag Trifecta ($38.00)
Oct. 3 - Mackinnon/Silver Surfer/Picota Trifecta ($100.80)
Oct. 5 - RESIST THE DEVIL ($9.00)
Oct. 6 - FAVORABLE OUTCOME ($4.60)
Oct. 8 - Special Reserve/Aloha West Exacta ($12.60)
Oct. 16 - Shantisara/Technical Analysis Exacta ($22.40)